Despite all the difficulties, Biterfeld Wolfen at least tried his best. During a short visit to the town, Schenk showed a lake transformed from an abandoned coal mine. A new pier and a promenade have been built by the lake. He mentioned the slogan of the city many times: "We only provide you with quality life and leisure". Booklets with children's smiling faces, yachts and tennis balls. It also says that Bitterfield-Wolfen is one of the youngest cities in Germany. Although such marketing did prevent the loss of population (the inflow population slightly exceeded the outflow population for the first time in 20 15), the population of this small town is still shrinking, because the number of deaths is more than twice that of births every year.
In many parts of rural Europe, mayors are struggling with similar problems and don't know when to turn their schools into nursing homes. According to the United Nations, by 2050, the median age of Greece, Italy, Poland, Portugal and Spain, which, unlike Germany, have suffered a net brain drain, will surpass that of Germany and will shrink sharply. According to the International Monetary Fund, aging and migration may further inhibit the growth of central and southern European countries. It is estimated that by 2030, the per capita GDP of some countries may be 3-4% lower than that without immigrants.
In many rural areas of Europe, mayors are also worried about similar problems and want to know how to turn local schools into nursing homes. According to the prediction of the United Nations, by 2050, Greece, Italy, Poland, Portugal and Spain will be more aging than Germany, and their populations will also shrink sharply (unlike Germany, these countries have all experienced a net brain drain). According to the International Monetary Fund, aging and population outflow will further inhibit the economic growth of Central and Southern European countries. According to its estimation, by 2030, assuming there is no outflow of population, the GDP of some countries may be 3-4% lower.
However, in Germany, the consequences are particularly serious. Due to the strong economy and tight labor market, some employers are already trying to fill the vacancy. Consulting firm BCG predicts that by 2030, China will be short of 5 to 7 million workers. Oliver Holttum predicted that the triple impact of decreasing labor force, increasing social expenditure and the potential inhibitory effect of aging labor force on innovation and productivity will drag down future growth? Le of leipzig economic research institute. He added that these influences are stronger in the East. Productivity is 20% lower than that in the west; The aging population and continuous migration to the west will make economic convergence less likely.
But in Germany, the consequences of these problems are particularly serious. Due to the strong economy and labor shortage, it is difficult for many employers to find people to fill the vacancy. The Boston Consulting Group predicts that by 2030, there will be a gap of 5 million to 7 million in the German labor market. Oliver Holtmore of Leipzig Economic Research Institute predicts that the triple effects of the decrease of labor force, the increase of social expenditure and the inhibition of aging labor force on innovation and productivity will drag down future economic growth. These influences are more profound in eastern Germany. The productivity in the east is 30% lower than that in the west, and the aging population and continuous migration to the west will make it more difficult to achieve economic balance.