What needs to be vigilant is not the idea of a "two-state group" between China and the United States, but those that call on the United States and its allies to be unanimously responsible for China and publicize China.
The main reasons for disapproving the formulation of "G2"
China is a developing country with a large population, and there is still a long way to go to build a modern country. We have always been sober about this.
China pursues an independent foreign policy of peace and does not form an alliance with any country or group of countries;
China advocates that world affairs should be decided by all countries, not by one or two countries.
The G-20 financial summit in Washington has been hastily concluded. American experts and think tanks are angry at the inefficiency of the meeting and the Bush administration's almost inaction, so they directly suggest to the next president-elect barack obama that the G-2 meeting between China and the United States should be held quickly. The view of Sino-American Group was first put forward by Donald Razim, a famous American economist, in 2006. Razim declared that "the United States and China are the most important in global economic relations", and then put forward the concept of the two-nation group (G2). This view was accepted by the newly appointed US Treasury Secretary Henry Merritt Paulson. Paulson actively promoted the bilateral meeting between China and the United States and was regarded as a famous pro-China faction in the Bush administration. Bergsten, director of the Peterson Institute for International Economics in the United States, is also a supporter of this statement. After the fourth round of China-US Strategic Economic Dialogue, he began to publicize the G2 concept: if the United States wants to encourage China to take on more responsibilities in the global economy, it should share its leading position in the global economy with China. After the G20 financial summit, Ferguson, a famous professor of economic history at Harvard University in the United States, even published an article in Washington post, directly calling China-US Group "Chimerica", as if we had become an inseparable whole. Professor Ferguson believes that the United States, the largest consumer, and China, the largest saver, are the most decisive factors in world economic relations. He even reminded President-elect Obama: Don't wait until the G20 summit in April next year, and hold the China-US G2 summit the day after taking office!
From this, it can be seen that the views of Sino-American Group are not a whim of American experts, but have been brewing for many years and have only erupted in recent times. You can't help wondering why the United States is still the most developed and only superpower in the world despite the financial crisis. Its usual practice is to curb the rise of potential competitors such as China. Why suddenly become so close to China, and raise China's international status to an unbounded level? You know, China is just a developing country, which cannot compete with the United States politically, militarily and economically, and even lags behind the European Union, Japan and Russia in many aspects. Even if the focus of the United States is on the economy, China is only the fourth largest economy in the world. Both Japanese and German economies are bigger than China, and the EU as a whole is even bigger than the United States. Why do American think tanks insist that China and the United States are the mainstay of the world economy? Does China match? What did the United States see in China?
The "Sino-US relationship" proposed by American experts is obviously based on something else, not China's economic strength. Professor Ferguson said that China is the biggest saver, and China is? The total bank savings of China residents is 20 trillion yuan, while the Japanese savings rate is very low, but the total savings is as high as 3 10 trillion yen, which is 22 trillion yuan when converted into RMB, higher than that of China. The United States is indeed the largest consumer in the world. Although national savings only account for 10% ~ 12% of GDP, the absolute figure is still at least 1.3 trillion US dollars, equivalent to about 9 trillion yuan, which is not small compared with China. American experts say that we are the biggest savers, not absolute savers, but the savings rate. But neither the savings rate nor the absolute amount of savings has any practical significance for China, because most parts of China are poor and the per capita income is already very low. High housing prices, high medical expenses and low coverage of old-age insurance force China people to put their limited money in the bank and dare not turn it into daily consumption power to stimulate the economy.
In fact, American experts' favor for China is based on two aspects, one is China's foreign exchange reserves, and the other is the export of low-priced goods. China's foreign exchange reserves have reached US$ 2.3 trillion, while the second-ranked Japan has only US$ 977.723 billion, more than 654.38 trillion less than China. Such a high foreign exchange reserve is undoubtedly the best lifeline when the global financial crisis rages. Therefore, since the outbreak of the financial crisis, the United States and Europe have changed their previous tone of containing and criticizing China, and have praised and praised China, calling us the savior to save the world, and have not forgotten to ask China to invest foreign exchange in western financial circles. The financial crisis is so serious that the global economic recession is a foregone conclusion. In this case, China's low-priced export commodities become precious. If China's commodity export prices continue to rise, there will be large-scale inflation in the world. Economic recession is an unprecedented disaster, and if inflation is added, the consequences will be even more unimaginable. Therefore, in this sensitive period, China will be particularly important.
Now it seems that the correct statement should be that China and the United States kidnap each other and depend on each other. Neither can be separated from the other, which is indeed the most interesting phenomenon in human history! So more and more experts and scholars in the United States have figured it out. They are more profound than the cooperation between China government and experts. They not only put forward the concepts of the two-nation group and China and the United States, but also actively shouted out the attractive slogan that the two countries enjoy the world. In fact, as early as Robert Zoellick, former Assistant Secretary of State, called out that China was a stakeholder in the United States, the academic and political elites in the United States had already had a preliminary understanding, but they just didn't want to discover it soon. They also want to see if there will be any changes in China, so that the United States can put forward other possible options. However, the financial crisis in the United States came too fast, and the United States could not stand it, so it was forced to focus on the cards of the two groups and the concepts of China and the United States.
One is a strong country, one is a weak country, one is the only superpower, and the other is the largest developing country. The two countries have formed an inseparable whole, which is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity for China, but it is embarrassing for the United States, which has been holding back and obstructing China. It is predicted that although American academic and political circles have more and more extensive understanding of Sino-US cooperation, it is difficult to end the long-standing anti-China inertia in a short time. When Obama officially takes office, his campaign promises against China will be implemented. If China responds properly, it will force the United States to change its course like previous presidents, and then the era of China and the United States will come. Of course, China must understand that before or after the start of the Sino-American era, China will be doomed to be in a weak and passive state, and even die early or end because of China's economic recession. Therefore, apart from treading on thin ice when dealing with the United States, China should also be careful to deal with the outside world. Vigorously developing the economy is the only choice for China, and the latter is also the most important reason for the United States to adopt the strategy of two-nation group.