1, do not buy a house;
2, there are two spare money, not too much, a little idle, not too long;
3. There is no reliable internal information of urban industrial planning;
4. Those who don't want to be leeks, but have no confidence to be sickles.
As for those non-"ordinary people" who claim to be experts in the property market, wizards in buying houses, well-informed people in the city and protectors of gods, well, you can close this article because it is not written for you.
For the first group of people, after this round of real estate baptism, I think the most important experience is seven words-
Ordinary people don't buy new areas.
1
First of all, it must be admitted that the short-term growth rate of the new district is definitely higher than that of the old district.
This is not a unique phenomenon in any city, but a universal law in China, no matter how many cities there are.
In the first-tier city of Shenzhen, the highest increase in real estate in this round is Qianhai New District.
Hefei, a second-tier city, saw the highest increase in administrative districts, followed by Binhu New District.
In Luoyang, a third-tier city, the highest increase was in Luolong New District, and now the new generation of growth king is Yibin New District, ten kilometers away.
However, there are two premises.
First, you must find the new district with the best prospect in this city, and even find the best new district plate;
Second, you must enter at a more appropriate time and appear at a more appropriate time.
Both are indispensable.
2
First of all, you must find the new district with the best prospect in this city.
This seemingly simple question may actually be a very complicated multiple-choice question with no standard answer.
Because, in China, a city may have everything.
Lack of population, lack of industry and lack of funds, but we will never lack two things-ideas and new areas.
In this paragraph, everyone said that there are many new districts in Zhengzhou, and the supply should not be too sufficient.
However, from Zhengzhou to Chengdu, to be honest, I was shocked by the number and concept of new districts in the city of abundance.
The big one has a national new district-Tianfu New District, all the way to the south.
In the new world, there is a new generation of new district across Longquan Mountain-Longquanyi New District.
Almost every administrative district has its own sub-new district. Wuhou District has Wuhou Aviation New Town, Qingyang Education New Town, several factories are classified as industrial new towns, and a circle of colleges and universities is the University Smart City.
Anyway, the feeling of tuning in Chengdu is that there are new areas every day, and the concept is getting newer every day.
Moreover, for some relatively large new districts, the play still appears in the form of Russian dolls. A big city has a plate, and there are sub-plates in the plate, and each plate has a concept.
Take Tianfu New District, the largest national new district in Chengdu, as an example. At least, Tianfu New District can be divided into High-tech Park Financial City, Lushan Nanhu Plate in the middle, Xinglong Plate centered on Xinglong Lake, not to mention the distant gypsum town.
Further down, taking the central part of Tianfu New District as an example, it can be divided into Lushan plate, Luhuzi plate and Jinjiang ecological belt.
Anyway, every plate is in the mouth of the sales staff in the sales department-full of concepts, bright prospects and full appreciation, which is the best choice for you to buy a house in this city.
As for believe it or not? I believe that one or two of them will succeed and become a rising star of the whole city. Where are the others?
Ha ha.
Therefore, all the media and experts will definitely advise you to choose the new district when buying a house in the new district.
As for what is a "good choice" and how to calculate it, I'm sorry, how to choose it is up to you.
If you are the city planning director, if you are the director of the municipal development and reform commission, I doubt that you know where the focus of government investment is next, where the new district is most promising, and which new district house to buy, you should have an answer in your heart.
But the question is, are you?
three
After the first question, let's talk about the second question-buying a new district. Why is it more important to grasp time?
Before talking about this issue, let's talk about a hot spot in the national property market recently-what happened to Zhengzhou property market?
So, what is the truth about housing prices in Zhengzhou?
The real situation is that the central city is quite stable, but the house prices in the middle and outer suburbs have been greatly reduced.
In the previous paragraph, according to the statistics of relevant consulting companies, in the second half of the year, the opening rate of the Third Ring Road is about 17% higher than that of the Fourth Ring Road, the opening rate of the Fourth Ring Road is about 12% higher than that of the outer ring road, and the area directly under Zhengzhou is 19% higher than that of suburban counties and surrounding areas of Zhengzhou.
To put it bluntly, in the downward stage of the property market, the more the main city, the higher the conversion rate.
If the transformation rate of the middle and outer suburbs around Zhenghe is not good, prices will naturally be reduced, both bright and dark.
The new areas are mainly in these areas.
For example, in a typical new urban area of Zhengzhou.
Nanlonghu Lake in Xinzheng, the nephew of Zhengzhou, has an average price of 65,438+00,000 in 2065,438+07. Now you can choose a house of 9000 yuan.
Zhengzhou's son airport area, the average price of 20 10000 is above 10000. At present, there are many houses over 8000 in Nangang.
Zhengzhou Xunzi Plain New District, 2065,438+07, with an average price of more than 8,000. At present, the newly opened lots are good, and the number of Sunac projects can reach more than 5,000.
Xingyang East is not the development direction of Zhengzhou, with an average price of 9,000 yuan in 2065,438+07 and an average price of 7,500 yuan at present.
Zhengzhou's younger brother Kaifeng West, the average annual price of 20 17 is 9,000 yuan, and the current average price is 6,500 yuan/m 2.
Zhengzhou adopted son Lvbo, the average annual price of 20 1712,000 yuan/m2, and the current average price is 8,000-9,000 yuan.
I have been to these outer suburbs of Zhengzhou or the surrounding areas of Zhengzhou in the past two months, and some of them have been more than once.
In each new urban area in charge, each project has subtle differences, but the biggest commonality is that the urban area with closer ties with Zhengzhou has the smallest decline.
Take Nanlonghu, which just needs a distribution center in Zhengzhou, as an example. Although it is only the nephew district of Zhengzhou (subordinate to Zhengzhou's xinzheng city), it is the closest and most mature area to Zhengzhou, and it is connected by subway, so the decline is the smallest.
The biggest drop in these areas is Bian Xi New District in Kaifeng City. Take a big future city project in China as an example, and get a 30% discount. At the peak, it was 20 17, with decoration close to 10000, and now it is 5700 blank, even with decoration, the decline is at least 3000 yuan.
However, what about the main city of Zhengzhou within the Third Ring Road? What should go up will not go up again, but it is impossible to say that there is a big drop. The area with the biggest drop may have dropped by 500, mostly in the form of special rooms.
four
This is the real market of Zhengzhou, the so-called "the largest city with falling house prices".
For Zhengzhou, in 2020, the golden September and silver tenth, the main city is autumn, the outer suburbs are early winter, and it is deep winter around Zhengzhou.
However, going back to three years ago is a different story. The main city is spring, the outer suburbs are early summer, and the surrounding areas are all summer.
In the outer suburbs, you can wake up once, get excited twice and have an orgasm three times. During the rising period of the market, the housing price in the outer suburb new town rose by 30% a year, which can only be said to be passable, and it rose by 50% a year, which can only be said to be in line with expectations and doubled every year to be considered excellent.
However, when the market is in a downturn, when all the passions recede, these suburban new cities can be described by a bad saying-the higher you jump, the worse you fall.
Therefore, whether the new district rises or falls, it will greatly exceed people's expectations. This is the law of the market, regardless of people's will.
However, the biggest problem is who will invest in the house, especially the house jumping up and down in the new district. You can accurately predict the price trend, buy at the bottom, sell at the top, and be out of the game perfectly.
As for the timing, all the experts tell you to grasp the timing of buying and selling. However, this question has come to reality-it has become metaphysics, because even the director of housing management can't give you an accurate answer, not to mention that you are just an ordinary person.
five
Therefore, although the new district is good, the premise is that you must make a good choice.
Choose the target, choose the plate, which requires you to become an expert in urban development, and even need some inside information.
Although the new district has a high upward cycle, the decline will be the fiercest in the downward stage of the market.
Choose buying time and selling time, which requires you to be an expert in forecasting.
When you think you have the ability to control everything, of course, your best choice is the new district.
If you are an ordinary person, I suggest you buy a main city or even a second-hand one. At least the market in the main city is worse, and the house has rent, which can help you through the long winter.
Because, you and I are just an ordinary person.