This is a good question! It seems that the original poster has thought deeply about it. I have also thought about this issue. Here is my personal opinion, just for discussion!

First of all, let’s look at Japan from a geographical perspective. Japan’s land area is small, with a total area of ??377,800 square kilometers. More than one-third of the land is mountainous, which is not suitable for human habitation.

At the same time, Japan is short of domestic resources. Many strategic materials such as coal, iron, rubber, oil, etc. cannot be self-sufficient and need to rely on imports. This is equivalent to being tied up by others in terms of resource dependence. neck. Looking back at the war of aggression launched by Japan more than 60 years ago, in the mid-term, Japan did not hesitate to face the United States, which was stronger than itself. The first attack was largely due to the United States' attack on Japan. Resource embargo. At the same time, Japan also launched a battle to open up mainland transportation lines in China. The purpose is only to obtain oil, rubber and other resources from the countries in the South China Sea. It can be seen that the lack of resources plays a decisive role in Japan's development.

When Japan occupied Northeast China, Japan once issued a slogan: "It would rather give up the mainland than give up "Manchuria"." It just shows how attractive the huge resources contained in the black soil of Northeast China are to Japan! During the occupation, Japan continued to plunder the resources of Northeast China. It is said that a large amount of coal mines plundered from China are still deposited in the offshore waters of Hokkaido.

Just like light does to plants. Resources have the same relationship with the development of a country. How can the ambitious Japan be willing to be controlled by others for a long time?

Secondly, Japan has a population of about 120 million. Considering its small space, the population density is astonishingly high. According to some data, office workers in Tokyo, Japan, will end up

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It is difficult to buy a house in Tokyo throughout your life, and you will basically rent a house throughout your life. Although the birth rate in Japan has declined this year (Japan does not have family planning), the huge population base still keeps the population density high. For a person, the most basic requirement is to have food to eat and a place to live. Because these two points are the most basic survival requirements.

If any of them cannot be solved well under pressure for a long time. The heavy psychological burden caused can be imagined. This situation is plaguing Japan and will eventually become an inevitable burden and worry for the Japanese government.

Thirdly, Japan is a single-ethnic country, and its typical geographical characteristics of an island country make it easy for the Japanese to develop a unified and abnormal psychological state: living in a small space

< p>Surviving in the living space and surviving in a geographically scarce resource gave the Japanese a deep sense of crisis related to fertility. This sense of crisis encouraged Japan's economic take-off after the war.

It will also become a double-edged sword that threatens the development of human nature now and in the future. When it develops to a certain extent, it turns into a twisted stubbornness. Just like, a person who has been thirsty for a long time in the desert suddenly sees a small lake. After the excitement, there is a strong desire to possess. A desire to own the entire lake

! This mentality is also a typical Japanese mentality. The suicide rate in Japan remains high, and the somewhat perverted extreme perfectionism tendency in film and television novels (such as the famous saying in Japanese novels: For you, I can and The whole world is their enemy, even if they destroy the world, they will not hesitate to do so. ) all reflect the increasingly distorted psychological symptoms of the Japanese, and this symptom is most likely to destroy themselves or others. Released in the form of "launching war" at the national level.

Furthermore, because of the nature of Japan as a single nation-state, its ideas are more easily unified. When domestic conflicts occur, they can easily be transferred to the outside and condensed and vented in an external form.

Finally, let’s talk about Japan’s political culture. There was a best-selling book some time ago called "The Chrysanthemum and the Sword", which deconstructed Japanese psychology during World War II. Although times have changed, Japan's political system still retains some peculiar structures.

For example, the existing psychology of humbleness and arrogance, class differentiation and pursuit of honor, admiration for the strong and contempt for the weak,

These all exist objectively.

At the same time, we should not forget that Japan is still a monarchy. The emperor still enjoys the highest honorary right to rule and is the spiritual leader of the Japanese people. Therefore, some people say that the Japanese structure is like an ant. The upper levels set the direction and the lower levels follow suit without thinking at all. This may be overstated, but there is some truth to it. Political democracy has been implemented in Japan for many years. We should admit that this method has indeed achieved outstanding progress and effects in Japan. But Eastern people's thinking determines that this kind of progress is just a whitewash of representation

. A Japanese person himself once said: "The son of a politician is still a politician, the son of a banker is still a banker, and the son of a business owner is still a business owner!" If you are paying attention, you might as well check it out If you look up the family tree of the current Japanese leaders, you will find the unique phenomenon of "the son of the prime minister is still the prime minister"!

The successful take-off of the Japanese economy after the war made Japan become the second largest economic power in the world. Before the theory that economics determines the upper class, it seemed funny that a country with such a strong economic foundation would have such weak political power. How could Japan be willing to remain a political dwarf forever? Nowadays, Japan is sending out signals frequently (such as the incident of Japan

becoming a permanent member of the United Nations, and amending the troop dispatch bill, etc.), all of which are just to gain corresponding political status. The ultimate tool of a politician is victory on the battlefield. (Such as the Russo-Japanese War and the Sino-Japanese Sino-Japanese Sino-Japanese Naval War. It can be said that these two wars laid the political foundation for Japanese militarism, and this influence continues to this day

)

All the above seem to suggest that Japan will fall into multiple bottlenecks in economic and political development in the future. It is very likely that Japan will once again resort to a simple and convenient method - "war" to get out of trouble! In my personal opinion, this situation is definitely possible!

Someone once said this: "If Japan launches aggression, Japan will be defeated! If Japan does not launch aggression, Japan will perish!" If you think about it carefully, it does make sense!

The above is just my personal opinion, please let me know if I am wrong, please forgive me!