Hello everyone, although I have used it countless times since elementary school, but every time it comes to a time like this, I can't help but blurt out, who makes the wheel of history always roll forward? , as passengers, but also as witnesses of history, we can be at such a time. Taking stock and summarizing, in fact, it is quite good. It can not only lament the rapid changes of the times, but also get a glimpse of the future from the present. With the last week left in 2018, I am here to follow suit and take stock of a relatively large number. theme, I boldly take stock of the 20186 big technology keywords in my mind.

The first one, and I think it should also be the least controversial, is artificial intelligence. In fact, I have also roughly searched the annual keynotes made by several major technology media in the past few years. On the word list, it seems that starting from the landmark event of Ago's victory over Lee Sedol in 2016, artificial intelligence has firmly dominated the list every year since then. However, in comparison, this year's list really has to be Come up with something related to artificial intelligence. It seems a little difficult to get representative breaking news, maybe because everyone has gradually adapted to a new era of AI plus everything, but is there really no breakthrough in artificial intelligence this year? In fact, it is not the case. It can be said that there are still many bright spots. I remember that in January, CCTV's documentary "Innovating China" was launched. This incident really shocked me, mainly because of this step. The dubbing of the documentary is a familiar but incredible voice because he used the voice of the famous announcer and voice actor Mr. Li Yi who passed away in 2013. Although the matter of AI voice broadcasting seems to have long been eliminated nowadays. It's not new, but this time the artificial intelligence simulated Li Yi's dubbing can be said to be full of emotion and emotion, and most of the stops and accents are very accurate.

At that time, I actually discussed it with experts in artificial intelligence. Their view was that on the one hand, Li Yi left a large amount of sound material for machine learning during his lifetime; On the other hand, voice-related artificial intelligence technology has made progress in the past two years, which is actually very fast. What surprised me even more was the AI ??synthetic anchor shown by Xinhua News Agency in November. He extracted the news broadcast video of the real anchor. . The characteristics of voice, lip shape, expression, movement, etc. are synthesized using speech, lip shape, expression, and joint modeling training through deep learning and other technologies. Although it seems now, he still has a lot, It feels a bit weird and unnatural, but if you think about the iteration and progress of similar technologies in recent years, you can almost directly make such a judgment. If you and I are peers. All you do is convert text into sounds, so except for the top few, most positions in this industry may directly face the risk of being replaced by AI, that is, in the industrial field of artificial intelligence It also shows increasingly powerful capabilities. From the perspective of data collection, a gas turbine can generate 25GB of data per day, and a smart grid platform can generate 30g of data per day.

A traffic management system can generate up to six tons of data every day. You must know that the data in the industrial field is actually very complex. Most companies get this data for some equipment operations. monitoring, but many companies have gone a step further and mined value from the perspective of data analysis, such as using big data analysis to achieve predictive maintenance. Siemens helped 26 cracks build a high-speed rail from Madrid to Barcelona. . The punctuality rate has been increased to 99.9%. Such a high punctuality rate allows high-speed rail operating companies to provide customers with a unique late refund policy. If the train is delayed for 15 minutes or more, passengers can get a full refund. This was almost unimaginable in the past. To a certain extent, what Siemens is doing is actually making progress in the industrial field. In fields such as energy manufacturing and transportation, Siemens has artificial intelligence solutions. With the support of the Jiangsu Provincial Department of Science and Technology and Suzhou Industrial Park, Siemens' work is being carried out, covering predictive maintenance, diagnosis of CNC machine tools and production of CNC machine tools. To optimize big data analysis of CNC machine tools in these three aspects, of course, there will be more and more attention paid to AI in 2018.

But love tt, it’s a matter of industry and media. Oncologists are lamenting that AI is showing its full potential in the field of medical imaging. Biologists are shocked that deep trading’s f is predicting proteins. In the task of three-dimensional structure, it defeated human elites, sports enthusiasts, and onlookers with a crushing advantage. Boston Dynamics robot idea showed parkour and dexterity. Industrial workers marveled at the intelligence and dexterity of Siemens Amberg factory. Efficient. Taxi drivers are worried about driverless driving, which is developing rapidly. Even restaurant and hotel waiters are concerned about driverless restaurants. With the opening of driverless hotels to welcome guests, it seems that all walks of life are beginning to realize that this technology that once only appeared in The era of artificial intelligence in science fiction is rushing forward, and changes are already happening now, no matter whether we are really ready or not. In May, my World Artificial Intelligence Conference was held in Shanghai. What impressed me most was not the so-called black technologies displayed at the scene, but the phrase artificial intelligence empowerment, the theme of the conference in the new era, empowerment. In my opinion, the word "energy" is used very well. In the foreseeable future, this kind of negative energy may be everywhere, and all walks of life will inevitably be penetrated, changed, and reshaped. It's pandering.

After the pain is over, artificial intelligence will inevitably disappear from the attention of ordinary people like the Internet and computer technology back then. By that time, we will no longer marvel at its magic. Instead, we will regard it as a basic but indispensable tool to liberate our brain power, or use it to allow our own intelligence to run more freely. Well, at the end of 2017, Bitcoin was once speculated to a sky-high price, and then at the beginning of 2018, there was a concept that even overshadowed artificial intelligence. I guess you are also impressed, and that is the block Chain, until now I can still recall that famous saying in my ears. If you miss the Internet, will you still miss the blockchain? What kind of blockchain is raising chickens for a while? Insurance blockchain social networking is emerging in endlessly. It seems that everything can be blockchain. Some people even joke that now even the cleaning lady can talk about decentralized distributed accounting. Of course, there must be bubbles behind such carnival. , by the second half of the year, blockchain seemed to have faded out of people’s sight. By the end of 2018, after the tide receded, we couldn’t help but wonder, what is left of blockchain?

In my opinion, what is left is to make the virtual closer to reality. How to understand it? Originally, information always gave people an untrustworthy feeling. After all, things made of code could theoretically be changed without even leaving traces. Even in reality, where was this apple produced? In the warehouse How long has it been there, or where did this person graduate, what kind of past he has, and other such information, in fact, it also exists and is forged. Possibly, but express delivery has indeed solved a big problem about trust for us. As a decentralized and distributed storage technology, it not only makes virtual currency unforgeable, but also has many applications such as food traceability and social networking. Waiting for many scenarios, a relatively perfect solution is given, which can make information as credible as a so-called material entity for the first time. To a certain extent, it can even be said to be more credible. Of course, at present, when express delivery really needs to be applied in actual scenarios, it still faces many difficulties. After all, everything about his credibility is based on a premise. Above, these transaction data are stored in the storage space of each user participating in the blockchain. In a small scale, the use is not a big problem, but once the large-scale layout data changes.

Expansion not only tests the limits of storage devices, but is also limited by the network bandwidth itself. What is also generating massive amounts of data is the increasingly taking shape of the Internet of Things, which we often say ot, and this field was actually mentioned repeatedly during the blockchain craze at the beginning of the year. At that time, we were talking about blockchain plus the Internet of Things, which was also regarded as resolving the security risks of the Internet of Things. In terms of measurement, the Internet of Things itself can be said to have made silent and rapid progress in the past year. We can see that more and more people are using smart electronic scales, smart desk lamps, smart switches, smart sockets, etc. Internet of Things devices in the name of intelligence, not to mention its increasing popularity in urban construction, industrial logistics, retail and other fields. In fact, in the more conservative oil and gas industry, the Internet of Things is also emerging, as we all know.

Industry 4.0 is about injecting digitalization into industry. In fact, the oil and gas industry is also ushering in the so-called Oil and Gas 4.0. Oil and gas companies are trying to tap the potential value contained in big data, hoping to use digital technology to shorten project cycles, reduce costs, and improve production. and operation and maintenance efficiency and safety. At the same time, it can also provide a reliable basis for operation and management decisions, targeting the upstream exploration and development and midstream transportation fields of oil and gas.

Molecular formula proposed the concepts of 4.0 and plus4.0 respectively. Through the concept and technology of digital twins, Siemens’ safe digital solutions covering the entire life cycle can realize the integrated design of oil platforms and pipelines. Intelligent applications such as virtual debugging, virtual personnel training, operation optimization equipment, remote monitoring and diagnosis, etc., well, if blockchain is the spirit of the party. That is, the physical Internet of Things, in my opinion, makes reality informatized, and the 5G concept, which has been warmed up for several years, is more like a highway that passes through the resource barriers between virtual and reality. This year, the three major communication operators have launched in many cities The city has already carried out field tests, and just this month, the three major operators issued announcements stating that they had received notices from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology regarding the allocation and use of 5G frequencies. All of this is actually happening. It reminds us that the fifth series is really not far away. To be honest, I have struggled with the second keyword for a long time, because both the blockchain Internet of Things mentioned earlier and the fifth series seem to be on the list. Qualifications, but when I think about it carefully, it seems that they are all a little bit less interesting. Either the temperature has cooled down too quickly, or there is a lack of hot products, or they are still ready to go. However, the people behind these three technologies.

*** is brewing at the same time, and the future is very clear. Over there is the Internet of Everything. I think 2018 can be regarded as the year of accumulation of energy in the era of the Internet of Everything, and it is still a little moist. The boundary between the silent virtual and the real is becoming increasingly blurred. It happens to be A Tong’s first keyword, artificial intelligence. Let’s put together a neat four-character format. Everything is connected. This can be packaged and sent by express delivery. . Let’s consider the four-letter words Internet of Things and 5G as the second annual technology keyword in 2018. Perhaps you have noticed that when talking about artificial intelligence, I have already mentioned unmanned technology in passing. Driving is a hot technology in recent years. Originally, for this third keyword, I directly wanted to give it to driverless or autonomous driving. After all, in the technology news throughout the year. The mention rate of the word husband is really a bit high. I remember that in early February, Google suddenly announced that it would launch a driverless taxi service in 2018. At that time, as soon as this news came out, people inside and outside the industry exploded, about driverless taxis. The debate over whether human driving is safe was actually very hot for a time. Of course, all this does not seem to stop the wheel of driverless cars from rolling forward. In April, with the road test management of intelligent connected cars.

The release of standardized trials and the road testing of autonomous driving in our country have completely opened up the situation, and the race for this driverless autonomous driving technology is still fiercely carried out around the world. In the field of driving technology, there is a L5 grading standard. The larger the number, the higher the degree of automation. Nowadays, the technology that everyone may have access to is usually between L2 and 23, which means it has a certain level. AI intervenes, and you can complete operations such as changing lanes and overtaking vehicles under specific conditions. However, it still requires the driver to be ready to take over the job at any time. Remember at the beginning of the year, there was actually no one in the car market. Car companies have installed autonomous driving systems that can reach Level 4 on mass-produced models, which means that under special terrain or road conditions, they can completely break away from human-controlled darkness and be able to operate autonomously. Complete the operation and operation of the vehicle, this is a level of autonomous driving, and the interaction between the driver and the car is only limited to this temporary replacement in different areas, or when the road conditions switch, Once the vehicle enters a qualified environment, it can continue to drive autonomously. It is particularly noteworthy that in 2018, many car companies actually announced the launch of the fourth series of autonomous vehicles, and some are currently undergoing testing.

Some will start research and development. For example, in July Baidu announced that it would join forces with King Long Bus to launch a fourth series of mass-produced self-driving buses. In October, Huawei and Audi announced that they would work together to develop level 4 self-driving buses. , in any case, this year's autonomous driving technology is striving towards the 4G era. I didn't care about the previous failure.

There is a reason why this year’s third keyword is unmanned driving, or autonomous driving, because there are many strange forms of transportation this year that are frequently mentioned, such as various forms of flight. What impressed me deeply about cars is the combination of cars and fixed-wing aircraft. Mr. Chun also has an oversized manned drone like the Pla. These two so-called cars are not just concepts. The former is said to have been opened for pre-order, while the latter has also ended the secret testing phase and has been officially displayed to the public. According to the current price, or the predicted price, after mass production of such equipment, it can be controlled at approximately The level of a mid-range SUV means that in the near future, if you want to drive your own flying car and fly in the sky, price is not the main factor, but the supporting policies.

An interesting detail is that many science fiction movies or TV series released this year seem to have many suspenseful flying cars in their visions of future urban transportation. To be honest, unmanned aerial vehicles, including the hyperloop that was very popular some time ago, although no one can say how far these futuristic modes of transportation are from actually entering our lives. But compared to the past, they only existed in science fiction. In 2018, they have become models, started testing, and are even close to mass production. Today, it seems to be hinting that they may not be released. In ten years, the traffic patterns we are familiar with now will undergo earth-shaking changes. By then, the view of time and space on the earth may also change. It has been subverted once again, so I think the third keyword in 2018 belongs to the four words "future transportation".

The typhoon barrier that has always been talked about by the people of Shanghai seems to be very ineffective this year. Shanghai became the first city in China to have three typhoons land in 30 days. It was supposed to be Autumn is crisp, but in November, people are in no mood due to the smog, humidity, and heat. In December, it becomes even more depressing. It rains almost non-stop for nearly half a month, and what’s even more unusual is that it rains on a cliff. Mode. After the temperature dropped to winter, it snowed for the first time. Many friends around me were wondering, is this kind of weather still the Shanghai we are familiar with? Not just in Shanghai, but across the world, climate anomalies seem to be an important news element throughout 2018. Whether in Asia, Europe, Africa or North America, many places have experienced unusually high temperatures this summer. China, Japan, Vietnam, Laos, India, etc. have also experienced floods due to heavy rains. Australia in the southern hemisphere has experienced a severe drought that has not been seen in a century. Some time ago, everyone was deeply impressed. California in the United States has experienced the worst drought in history. In the most serious wildfires, we gradually seem to have the understanding that abnormal weather is normal, although it is difficult for us to attribute a single extreme weather event to a person.

It will cause climate change, but many previous scientific studies have actually concluded that the probability of extreme weather events is directly or indirectly related to human activities. According to statistics from the World Meteorological Organization, from 2011 to 2016 Among 131 studies published in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society in 2017, 65% found that the probability of extreme weather events is significantly affected by human activities, such as human activity. The probability of some extreme high temperature weather events has increased by more than ten times. Technology, then following the 2013 Ten Air Measures, this year the State Council announced a three-year action plan to win the battle to defend the blue sky. As a major coal consumer, to win the battle to defend the blue sky, the transformation of the energy industry is actually crucial. Guangdong, for example, has clearly proposed optimizing and integrating coal-fired power plants, promoting coal-fired power plants that have expired, have been in service for a long time, and are located in urban built-up areas.

There are plans to close down the Guangzhou power plant before the end of 2018 through integration and elimination. However, phasing out coal-fired power plants sounds like a very simple matter, but how should the resulting power gap be filled? Woolen cloth? This petrochemical and efficient gas-fired power generation is very important. For example, in Zengcheng, Guangzhou, a large-scale gas-fired cooling, heating and power triplex is expected to be put into operation at the end of 2019.

The Chenggong project has introduced two sets of generator sets including two Siemens ct587h heavy-duty gas turbines. The principle of the gas turbine is astonishing. After the lamp is lit, the air in the lamp is heated and the airflow rises, which will push the impeller to rotate. The hot exhaust gas from the gas turbine is not discharged into the environment without being used, but enters the waste heat boiler and is generated for the downstream steam turbine. Thereby greatly improving power generation efficiency, Siemens' H-class gas turbine is one of the most efficient and powerful gas turbines currently in commercial operation. It is widely used in combined heat and power plants, which can be said to convert fuel into usable energy. , one of the most efficient ways, the combined cycle unit using such a gas turbine can meet the needs of households in a city with a population of 3 million.

If there is demand, then in addition to centralized power generation, distributed energy can also be said to have unlimited potential. In August this year, in the natural gas distributed energy project in Kunshan, Jiangsu, two Siemens gas and steam combined The cycle units have successfully passed the 96-hour full-load trial operation. This also means that Jiangsu Province’s first regional natural gas distributed energy project has been fully completed. After being put into operation, it can not only provide clean power to the power grid. Providing industrial steam load can also provide air-conditioning load for surrounding public and commercial places and residents, creating a green, low-carbon and sustainable city. Although I gave the fourth technology keyword in 2018 to climate Abnormal, but in my heart I actually hope that environmental pollution will be caused by abnormal climate, and people will pay more attention to environmental issues in the future. The high-tech transformation of the energy industry is smoother.

Cassie, you have fallen. At such an important moment for a probe like Saturn, this year’s space exploration seems to have lacked a few hits. The only thing that can be said to be a global onlooker is probably that at the beginning of the year. It’s a great show for a sports car to fly to Mars, let’s take a look at the first flight of the Falcon Heavy rocket, but we really have to take a closer look. There are quite a few commendable detector launches this year, including InSight in May. The Mars lander set off, and it successfully landed on Mars at the end of last month. It was the first time that humans directly probed the internal structure of Mars. In June, Japan's Hayabusa 2 asteroid probe flew to the asteroid. Planet Ryugu, and successfully airdropped the lander Nest in October. By the end of 2020, only the samples collected on the asteroid No. 2 will be sent back to Earth. A probe focusing on asteroids, Lhasa's Osiris, arrived at the asteroid in early December. In 2023, he will also bring us back. From this one, more than 200 years later, there will be 1 There is a 2500/2500 possibility of a sample of an asteroid hitting the Earth. On August 12, the Parker probe will set off towards the sun, and it will do so at an unprecedented speed.

The sun, or kissing the sun, because it will pass through the sun's outer atmosphere, which is what we call the corona Parker's ultimate goal, is to get closer to less than 6 million kilometers from the sun's surface. On October 19th, the XM detector jointly developed by Europe and Japan was successfully launched and began its long space journey to Mercury. If all goes well, by 2025, they will send back the most detailed detection of Mercury in history. technique. Not long ago, on December 8, our country's Chang'e 4 lunar probe was successfully launched. With the help of the sophisticated Queqiao and the relay star, it was the first soft landing on the back of the moon in human history. Execution, it can be said that the pace of human space exploration has not slowed down in 2018. Mars, Mercury, asteroids, the surface of the sun, the moon, the back side, destinations. It is becoming more diverse, and the tasks are becoming more complex. This exactly reflects space exploration. It seems to be changing from the check-in game of the past to the in-depth game of today. There is still one last keyword left. I think it is not as good as the pattern. Even bigger, this year is the fifth anniversary of the Belt and Road Initiative, and it is also the reform and opening up.

On the 40th anniversary, the reason why we can have such a beautiful and happy life today is actually inseparable from the Belt and Road Initiative and reform and opening up. The concept of global cooperation behind this, although this year There have also been many unpleasant disputes that seem to run counter to these four words, but we should also see that cooperation and openness are still the mainstream of the future and where opportunities lie. This is true for China and the world.

In fact, those grand words are not what I am good at expressing. Whether it is majestic or thrilling, I believe everyone has experienced it in the past year. Let me tell you, what impressed me the most is that I remember that this year's World Internet At the conference, the former Prime Minister of Pakistan recalled a past event. Gwadar Port, not far from the Gulf, was once a small fishing village in Pakistan. It turned into an important port in just two years. This Only level eight. There has never been one in the history of assets, and this Gwadar Port is the outlet of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor. Here is some background knowledge. The Belt and Road Initiative currently includes six economic corridors, and among them, the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor It is the most successful and can be regarded as a flagship project. As you can imagine, for Pakistan, which has always been rich in the east and poor in the west, if this port at the westernmost end of the country develops into the Pakistani version of Shenzhen, it will be great.

What a benefit it is to balance their domestic development, not to mention, after the completion of the infrastructure, this port with excellent location advantages will have a strong attraction to global investment. In addition to the construction of Gwadar Port and the focus of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, there are also transportation and electricity. These aspects are also huge opportunities for our Chinese companies in the relatively wealthy Northeast of Pakistan. No, there is a province called Punjab, which has half of the country’s population and an economic contribution rate of over 60%. Over there, power upgrading is an important issue they face. Among them, our Chinese companies have firmly seized the opportunity. China Machinery Engineering Corporation provides two-for-one power plants for the Jiheng Combined Cycle Power Plant of Punjab Thermal Power Co., Ltd. in Pakistan. The power island equipment you are referring to, and in this project, there are two ST58000HK gas turbines and one ST5000 steam turbine provided by Siemens, two sets of TM waste heat boilers, transformers and switch station systems, and the whole plant control system and related auxiliary systems, please do not underestimate this project. Even if it is placed in China, it is still a giant, with a total installed capacity of one thousand.

263 MW, it will be able to generate more than 1.26 million kilowatt hours of electricity every hour after it is completed and put into operation in 2019, which is equivalent to the total electricity consumption of nearly 4 million households in Pakistan. They will also become the largest in Pakistan. Gas-fired power plant, which can effectively alleviate the problem of long-term insufficient power supply in Pakistan. This project is also constructed by China Machinery Engineering Co., Ltd. There is an H-class gas turbine power station project. For Siemens, it is the first time that its H-class gas turbine has entered the Pakistani market. As for the benefits of H-class gas turbines, there is actually no need to repeat them here. We were talking about the Guangzhou Zengcheng project earlier. Just mentioned it, did you notice it? Cooperation like this, whether it is for Pakistan or China, whether it is for local Chinese companies or international companies, can be said to be global. Cooperation has brought tangible benefits, and if we were to take down such examples one by one, I’m afraid it would take another whole year to list them all. Originally, I was just going to take 20 minutes to do a quick inventory with everyone. As for looking back, who would have thought that once we get started, we will realize that there are so many things worth talking about this year that it is impossible to cover them all.

Is this a family story? If I am biased, please forgive me. In fact, what I also look forward to is that you can actively leave messages in the comment area and talk about the 2018 technology keywords in your mind. Only with your additions can I It can be considered a complete inventory. Happy New Year!