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If Liu Bei followed Pang Tong's suggestion and abandoned Jingzhou and marched to Guanzhong, would the Shu Han have achieved great success?

First of all, let me express my opinion: The author is here to refute the rumors! That is, when did Pang Tong say that he would give up Jingzhou and capture Guanzhong? His words were to persuade Liu Bei to make up his mind to enter Sichuan, not to give up Jingzhou at all. It should be noted that Jingzhou is the main battlefield of the Three Kingdoms. Isn't it a joke to withdraw from Jingzhou and break away from the main battlefield?

Let’s look at Pang Tong’s words first: Jingzhou is desolate and desolate, with all the people there, Wu Sun in the east and the Cao family in the north. It is difficult to succeed in a tripartite plan. Today, the country of Yizhou is rich and powerful, with a household registration of one million, four armies and horses, all must be equipped, and there is no need to ask for treasures from outside. Now you can use the power to decide important events.

Bei said: This refers to the person with whom I am on fire and water, Cao Cao. When Cao Cao is anxious, I will be lenient; when Cao Cao is violent, I will be kind; when Cao Cao is cunning, I will be loyal; whenever he goes against Cao Cao, things will happen. It can become an ear. Now, I will not accept anyone who has betrayed his trust and righteousness in the world for a small reason.

First: Don’t take quotes out of context

This conversation between Pang Tong and Liu Bei happened when Liu Zhang invited Liu Bei to Sichuan, and Liu Bei was hesitant. I have the motivation to be "easy to be rich", and I am afraid that if I go to Xichuan, I will make a fool of myself and even Jingzhou will be lost.

That’s why Pang Tong pointed out: After the Battle of Chibi, Jingzhou had become rich and withered from the prosperity it had been under Liu Biao’s management. The manpower and material resources cannot support your Liu Bei's ambition to conquer the world (Jingzhou is desolate and all the people are gone)!

Moreover, Sun Quan, Cao Cao, plus you, the three families are fighting here. Don't forget, Cao Cao's foundation is in Xudu (northern), and Sun Quan's foundation is in the south of the Yangtze River. He destroyed Jingzhou, and neither Cao Cao nor Sun Quan were afraid. But what about you, Liu Bei? Therefore, this cannot be regarded as the foundation for career development! Don't say anything, just take the opportunity to visit Xichuan (there are Wu Sun in the east and the Cao family in the north. It is difficult to succeed in a tripartite plan. Is the country of Yizhou rich and the people strong now?).

Who said that Pang Tong suggested giving up Jingzhou? That is completely taken out of context! Just like when Zhuge Liang said "Yizhou is exhausted" in his appearance, he was talking about the current situation, not giving up!

Second: If Jingzhou is abandoned, is it feasible to seize Guanzhong with all its strength?

It’s simply not feasible! Therefore, the starting point of this issue is based on Zhuge Liang's Northern Expedition, especially the shock during the first Northern Expedition, so this judgment was made. If Guan Yu and all the main forces were placed in the Guanzhong area, what would happen?

However, whether Zhuge Liang took this into consideration, he caught Cao Wei off guard during his first Northern Expedition. Cao Wei was not prepared at all at that time, because "Yu is the only famous general in Shu, and Yu died and his army declined." This was Cao Wei Fang's conclusion. Zhuge Liang had been doing Xiao He's job before, guarding the house, raising food and grass, etc. (Don't be fooled by "The Romance of the Three Kingdoms").

Zhuge Liang's military talents have not yet been demonstrated, and everyone thinks that Zhuge Liang is just a prime minister, and he is not good at fighting. Therefore, many people in Cao Wei who knew Zhuge Liang wrote letters to persuade Zhuge Liang to surrender.

It was under this situation that Zhuge Liang's small universe suddenly exploded and his military talents were revealed. In addition, Cao Wei was not prepared at all, which shocked Guanzhong and forced Cao Rui to go to Chang'an to take charge.

But apart from this first Northern Expedition, which was so huge, what about the other times? The second time Cao Wei was prepared, Hao Zhao blocked Zhuge Liang in Chencang. The next few times were all hard battles, with small victories at most. But once Cao Wei insisted on not fighting, Zhuge Liang had nothing to do, because the supply of food and grass was his weakness!

In this case, give up Jingzhou and go all out to build Guanzhong? Isn't this wishful thinking? Pang Tong's very normal words do not need to be interpreted too much.

Don’t even take it out of context! No matter how awesome we are, we are still a bunch of "keyboard warriors". How can we compare with people like Zhuge Liang, Liu Bei and Pang Tong?