Whether the technology is good or not, it is really difficult to follow the trend in China stock market. Many people know that there is a trend in stock trading, and they all know that it is safer and more profitable to follow the trend.

The trend is divided into upward trend and downward trend, and there is a sideways oscillation trend between the two trends. Trends are divided into long-term trends, medium-term trends and short-term trends. The best grasp of the trend is the long-term trend, especially the long-term upward trend, which is what we call a bull market. The operation is relatively simple and the benefits are great. However, A-shares have been in bear market and volatile market for a long time, and the long-term trend is very weak. Judging from the long-term trend of A-shares, it is not suitable for stock trading, and people often can't control their hands and are enthusiastic about the construction of the country, so it is boring to make a long-term trend in A-share market, and few people will follow the trend. When the long-term trend is not good, the mid-line trend is also difficult to grasp, and the rise is not big. When it is good, it is three rises and two falls. It can be seen from the bad habit of A-shares that the medium-term trend is meaningless, so few people will follow the trend. The most important operation in the A-share market is the short-term trend, and the short-term trend is generally 6 minutes and 3 minutes. The short-term trend of SMS changes greatly, which is quite difficult to control. Short-term generally needs long-term trends to cooperate. It is normal to find a good trend in the short-term when the long-term trend is good. Under the long-term bad trend of A-shares, it will be more difficult to capture good short-term opportunities in occasional opportunities. Sometimes according to the trend, it is better to listen to the news, and it is better to operate according to your own feelings.

everyone knows to follow the trend, but everyone wants to make money by following the upward trend when entering the stock market. However, the A-share market has been sluggish for a long time, and this kind of opportunity is rare. If there are few opportunities, there will be less training. If there are few opportunities, it will be difficult to master them. If there are few opportunities, people will follow the trend without much success. Gradually, people will rarely follow the trend. Only when A shares cheer up and let everyone realize the power of taking advantage of the trend, more and more people will take advantage of the trend.

why can't most ordinary traders follow the trend?

the main reasons are as follows.

Subjective trading:

What is subjective trading? It means that you think it will be like this, and it will definitely be like that. However, the market is always self-centered, rather than following the market, or when the market trend reverses, it will not change its original trading strategy and expect the market to go its own way. This is one of the reasons why ordinary traders can't follow the trend.

Trying to buy at the lowest point and sell at the highest point:

A trader always wants to buy at the lowest price and sell at the highest price, but he doesn't know how to follow the trend. Those who buy at the bottom often copy halfway up the mountain, while those who touch the top often touch the top. It is a big taboo to trade at the bottom and often doesn't follow the trend, so a trader likes to buy at the lowest point or sell at the highest point, which means instability.

There is no set of methods to judge the trend:

When you don't have a standard to judge the trend or a method to identify the trend, how can you follow the trend? First of all, you should have a set of ways to judge the trend, in order to talk about taking advantage of the trend. For example: trend line, bollinger band, moving average and other technologies judge the trend. When there is a way to judge the trend, as long as you identify it and then follow it, you can follow the trend. Otherwise, it is impossible to follow the trend.

so as an ordinary trader, if you want to follow the trend, you can follow the trend as long as you do the above three points. The rest is execution.

focus on gold ~ trade gold.

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Because in actual combat, there are too many uncertainties. When you are in a constantly changing market, you will constantly change your strategy.

therefore, following the trend, you not only need to see the trend correctly, but more importantly, you should do it correctly.

For example, in an upward trend, there will always be a retracement, and you will also be affected by various external factors. When you are not sure about the effectiveness of the trend, you will naturally change your strategy.

by the same token, even if there is a downward trend, there will be a short-term rebound, and sometimes even a new high. But soon you will find that the overall downward trend remains unchanged, and it will continue to fall in the end.

I want to talk about my personal experience here. If you want to follow the trend, you can really follow the trend only if your position management is better.

usually, if your position is too heavy at the beginning, you are likely to be shaken out during the trend operation. In fact, this is all due to human nature, so if you control your positions and gradually open positions in batches, you will be able to follow the trend.

take advantage of the trend to have wine and meat!

first of all, please clear your name. why are you called ordinary traders? How can you pretend to be an ordinary trader when you have invested more than 3% of your assets or your whole body in stock trading? Do ordinary traders have reason to lose money? Therefore, every transaction is a war, and precious gains must be exchanged at the cost of bearing. This is our only goal. Therefore, every operation should be very cautious, and it is better not to move than to start easily.

why can't you go with the flow?

1. The megatrend is misjudged. What happened in the world from 219 to 22? War, virus, locust plague, fire, oil price war, Sino-US trade war. These all affect the macro-economy. The stock market is not much better. During this period, how many people made profits by trading stocks? Even asset management, investment companies and listed companies are deeply involved.

2. fluky psychology. Knowing that the world is not peaceful, some people are not willing to cut their meat before, expecting a turnaround. Some people know that the world is not peaceful or they are involved in running. They think that they have experience and they have to make some money.

3. The psychology of bargain hunting is serious, ignoring the technical analysis of individual stocks. In fact, the signal given by the technical indicators is very clear, that is, I can't help but make a deal. Knowing that the bargain-hunting failed, the downward trend continued and refused to cut meat.

4. The situation of individual stocks has obviously changed and they still refuse to let go. Even if the bargain-hunting is successful, the stock price has risen to the top and has begun to decline, but it still refuses to let go, leading to the previous profit taking.

there is an old saying that "the wind blows the grass on the wall, and the wind blows the grass there and falls there", and the ancients also said that "he who knows the times is a hero". That is, they are telling us that when faced with difficult choices, we must choose the side that is more beneficial to us and avoid the side that is more harmful to us. So in the process of this choice, this so-called advantage is the "potential" of taking advantage of the trend here. And the process of this choice is "shun" or "reverse". Therefore, it is the best choice to "take advantage of the trend". Being a man and doing things is the same, and so is our transaction-we must follow the trend.

Follow the trend of the market

From the market point of view, especially for A-shares, because the domestic capital market develops late, its own stock market structure is not mature enough. The stock market is structurally characterized by the short bull and the long bear, and the bull market and the bear market cycle every 7-8 years, during which the stock market fluctuates greatly. Therefore, once the market has experienced a short bull market, the market overdraws all the rising ranges. The stock price began to fall sharply in the bull market, and after a short-term rebound, the market continued its downward trend and slowly bottomed out. Therefore, if transactions are homeopathic except for the bull market inflation structure, transactions under other structures are not homeopathic.

following the "trend" of individual stocks is only to determine the general trend of the market, but under any market structure, individual stocks will rise and fall. It's just that most of the stocks under the bull market structure are rising, which is only a high probability of rising, but it doesn't mean that there are no falling stocks. Moreover, we finally choose to operate a certain stock, so when we choose to buy, the trend of the stock should also follow the upward trend. Otherwise, even if the bull market is structured, if the "potential" of individual stocks is not smooth, it is still prone to losses.

The main reason for the stock price rise (the stock price rise is driven by the purchase of funds)

The motive force of the stock price rise itself comes from the continuous purchase of funds. Therefore, since there are funds that continue to buy and the stock price is rising, this kind of stock will definitely not end the rising structure in the short term. Because if this continuously-bought fund is not raised in the later period, how can we make a profit, in order to help retail investors lift sedan chairs? This is obviously unrealistic. Since the main capital of this position has been bought substantially, one day in the future, it is definitely necessary to raise the stock price to a certain high level, at least higher than the current price.

Inertia principle of trend motion

There is a word "inertia" in physics, which says that if an object is in a certain motion state under the action of an external force, if the external force disappears, the object will continue its own motion for a period of time, and then the motion state will be changed. The movement of the object is like this, and so is the running trend of the stock price. Even if the supply exceeds demand in the rising stage and the trading is unbalanced, the short-term stock price will continue to rise for a period of time.

Like to trade on the left and buy at the bottom

There are two types of traders in the trading process, one is risk-averse and likes to buy after the trend is formed, which is called the right trader. Another kind of bold and radical likes to buy down in the operation process, that is, although the stock can also make money by buying up, it chooses to buy at the bottom without reversing the downward trend, which is called the left trader. Therefore, for the bargain-hunting situation of the left trader, because the downward trend has not changed at this time, or it only belongs to the downward relay, it is easy for the stock price to continue the downward trend if the buying operation is in this case.

Some investors follow the small trend but carry the big trend

This means that I watched the stock price go up before choosing to buy it. But why did I make no money soon after I bought it, and the stock price continued to fall, and it fell more than a little, thinking that it was not the result of the callback at all, and finally it was not a loss. So now I'm going to ask you which "potential" you are following. Let's take a look at the following case: as can be seen from the upper part of the figure, the stock obviously formed an upward trend, but it didn't take long for it to continue to fall. Let's go back to the big structure of the stock and see that the position of the stock at that time was only a temporary rebound formed by the relay of decline. This is the so-called "small potential" but against the big "potential" structure.

Going up is afraid of heights, but going down is cheap

Some investors always have this mentality. They always hope that many stocks that have gone up will fall down without buying them themselves, because in his view, the share price of the stock has already gone up very high, and it will definitely fall sharply before it can continue to rise. However, the stock price has never fallen sharply, and it continues to rise after a short-term callback every time, and it has hit record highs. However, after a sudden rise to a high level and a sharp drop, investors are not only not afraid but also happy, thinking that the chips are cheaper after the big drop, which gives them a chance to get on the bus. But investors don't know that the power system of the car that just got on is damaged, and it has been going backwards.

It's not empty talk to follow the trend. Which potential does this potential represent? Is it a weekly trend or a daily trend? Or the 3-minute trend? Or a five-minute trend? If there is no level, it is useless to say that the trend is hooliganism. Why? Ordinary investors can't follow the trend, because they don't understand the trend. If a stock that is clearly bought according to the daily trend can't stand a 3-minute decline, it will be sold. Then the subsequent rise has nothing to do with her. If the daily downward trend is bought after a five-minute rise, then the subsequent decline will be a loss. So ordinary investors. If you must follow the trend, you must buy at what level and sell at what level. This is the trend.

homeopathic trading is simple to say, but it is very difficult to actually do it. The trend of this

level is to follow the trend itself, that is, to follow the trend in the real sense, and to follow the trend of impermanence. Furthermore, it's not a question of what level to follow, but what level you choose to go with the trend. It is not difficult to understand why we should look at the picture in this way in large, medium and small cycles or levels, and finally implement the operation in this cycle or level. If we leave this understanding and look at the picture in combination with the three levels, there will often be conflicts. For example, the sub-level follows the level, and the level follows the high level. Then if we don't operate at the secondary level, we may face a dilemma, such as the secondary level falling, the current level rising, and the high level falling. In the case of small and large adjacent levels, there is no need to pay attention to the trend of the high level, and vice versa.

in the elaboration of the rules about unfinished operation in completion and grasping the completion operation in unfinished operation in Difficult Theory, when the trend structure of this level is developing in the trading point, we go to the low-level trend structure to grasp the development of this level segment, and then determine the process of this level trend structure. The trend structure of this level is a segment at a high level, and the trend structure of the secondary level is still based on the current trading point. This is a kind of trend synthesis and trend tracking, and it doesn't matter who follows it. After synthesis, which direction is which direction. This direction is not the so-called up and down, but an angular trajectory movement.

It's not just about looking at the trading chart. Bread here contains material resources, financial resources and your own cognitive power, so to put it bluntly, this homeopathy means that you will follow the trend at whatever level you are.

I'm glad to answer this question. I entered the China A-share market in 23. Most people can't follow the trend because they trade too frequently and don't know how to wait for empty positions. Because the real trend can't exist every day, the price changes and the long-term movement in one direction require a lot of money to promote it, so it's difficult for ordinary investors to really follow the trend.

There is another point. As ordinary traders, subjective emotions and opinions generally judge the market subjectively, rather than acting objectively according to the information fed back from the market, so it is easy to act against the trend.

The above two points are the main reasons why ordinary investors can't follow the trend.

Why?