The target readers of this article are ordinary people, so what are ordinary people?

1. Don’t make a career out of buying a house;

2. Have some spare money, not too much, a little free time, but not too long;

3. There is no reliable internal information on urban industrial planning;

4. Those who don’t want to be leeks, but don’t have the confidence to be scythes.

As for those who are not "ordinary people" who claim to be real estate market experts, house buying wizards, well-informed people in the city, and property protectors, well, you can close this article, because this article is not for You guys wrote it.

For the first group of people, after this round of real estate baptism, I think the most important experience they should gain is seven words-

Ordinary people should not buy new areas.

1

First of all, we must admit that in the short term, the growth rate in the new area must be higher than that in the old city.

This is not a unique phenomenon to any city, but a general rule in China, no matter it is a first-tier city.

In Shenzhen, a first-tier city, Qianhai New District has the highest real estate growth rate in this round.

In Hefei, a second-tier city, the highest increase was in the government district, followed by Binhu New District.

In Luoyang, a third-tier city, Luolong New District has the highest increase, and now the new generation’s highest increase is Yibin New District, ten kilometers away.

However, there are two premises.

First, you must find the new district with the best prospects in the city, and even the best new district;

Second, you must enter the market at a more suitable time. Show up at a more appropriate time.

Both are indispensable.

2

The first point is that you must find the new area with the best prospects in the city.

This seemingly simple question may actually be a very complex multiple-choice question with no standard answer.

Because, in China, a city may lack everything.

It lacks population, lacks industry, and lacks funds, but it will definitely not lack two things - concepts and new districts.

In this paragraph, everyone said that there are many new areas in Zhengzhou, so the supply should not be too sufficient.

However, as soon as I, a native of Zhengzhou, arrived in Chengdu, to be honest, I was shocked by the number of new districts and new district concepts in Tianfu City.

In terms of big ones, there is the national-level new area all the way to the south - Tianfu New Area.

As for the new ones, there is a new generation of new district across Longquan Mountain - Longquanyi New District.

Almost every administrative district has its own new district. Wuhou District has Wuhou Aviation New City, Qingyang has Education New City, several factories are surrounded by an industrial new city, and a university is surrounded by a university smart city.

Anyway, the feeling of being in Chengdu is that there are new districts and new concepts every day.

Moreover, for some relatively large new areas, the game is still played in the form of Russian dolls. There are sections in the big city, and there are sub-sections within the sections, and each section has its own concept.

Take Tianfu New District, the largest national new district in Chengdu, as an example. At least, Tianfu New Area can be divided into the high-tech Dayuan Financial City in the north, the Nanhu plate in the central Lushan Mountains, the Xinglong plate centered on Xinglong Lake, not to mention Shigao Town, which is further away.

Further down, taking the central part of Tianfu New Area as an example, it can be divided into Lushan sub-plate, Luhu sub-plate, Jinjiang ecological zone, etc.

Anyway, every section, according to the salespersons in the housing sales department, is full of concepts, bright future, and full of appreciation. It is the best choice for you to buy a house in this city.

As for whether you believe it or not? I believe that one or two of them will definitely become successful and become the rising stars of the entire city. As for the others?

Haha.

So, all the media and all experts will definitely advise you that when buying a house in a new district, you must choose the new district well.

As for what "choosing well" means and how to count "choosing well", I'm sorry, the father-in-law is right, and the mother-in-law is right. How to choose is up to you.

If you are the Municipal Planning Director, if you are the Director of the Municipal Development and Reform Commission, I suspect that you know where the next government investment focus will be, which new districts have the most prospects, and which new districts to buy houses in. You should have the answer in your mind.

But the question is, are you?

3

After talking about the first question, let’s talk about the second question - when buying a new area, why is the timing more important?

Before talking about this issue, let me first talk about a recent hot spot in the national property market - what happened to the Zhengzhou property market?

So, what is the truth about Zhengzhou’s housing prices?

The truth is - the central urban area is quite stable, but the middle and outer suburbs have seen significant price reductions.

In the previous paragraph, according to statistics from relevant consulting companies, starting from the second half of the year, the opening sales rate of the Third Ring Road was about 17% higher than the opening sales rate of the Fourth Ring Road, while the opening sales rate of the Fourth Ring Road was higher than that of the Fourth Ring Road. Those outside the ring are 12 higher, while those in Zhengzhou's direct area are 19 higher than those in Zhengzhou's suburban counties and the ring-Zhengzhou area.

To put it bluntly, during the downturn of the property market, the more major cities are, the higher the sales rate will be.

The sales rate of projects in the middle and outer suburbs of Zhengzhou and Zhenghe is not good, so prices will naturally be reduced, either explicitly or covertly.

The new districts are mainly located in these areas.

For example, in the typical new town area of ??Zhengzhou.

In Nanlong Lake, Xinzheng City, my nephew’s home in Zhengzhou, the average price in 2017 was around 10,000 yuan, but now I can choose any house for 9,000 yuan.

In the airport area of ????Zhengzhou, the average price in 2017 was more than 10,000, and there are currently a lot of houses in Nangang with a price of more than 8,000.

In Pingyuan New District in Zhengzhou, the average price in 2017 was more than 8,000 yuan. Currently, the newly opened Sunac project in a good location can reach more than 5,000 yuan.

In Xingyang East, a non-development area in Zhengzhou, the average price in 2017 was 9,000 yuan, and the current average price is 7,500 yuan.

The average price in Kaifeng West, Zhengzhou, in 2017 was 9,000 yuan, and the current average price is 6,500 yuan/㎡.

The average price of the godson’s Green Bo in Zhengzhou was 12,000 yuan/㎡ in 2017, and the current average price is 8,000-9,000.

I have been to these outer suburbs of Zhengzhou or areas around Zhengzhou in the past two months, and some of them more than once.

Responsibly speaking, each new city area and each project situation are slightly different, but the biggest certainty is that the urban areas that are more closely connected with Zhengzhou have the smallest decline.

Take Nanlong Lake, which is in urgent need of a distribution center in Zhengzhou, for example. Although it is only a nephew area of ??Zhengzhou (belonging to Xinzheng City, a subsidiary of Zhengzhou), it is the closest to Zhengzhou, the most mature, and has access to the subway, so the decline has been the smallest.

The biggest decline among these areas is - Kaifeng Bianxi New District. Taking a national future city project with a 30% discount as an example, at its peak in 2017, the cost of decoration was close to 10,000 , the current rough price is 5,700 yuan, even including decoration, the drop is at least 3,000 yuan.

However, what about the main city of Zhengzhou within the third ring road? It will never rise again, but there is no talk of a sharp drop. The area with the largest drop may have dropped by about 500, and most of them are in the form of special-priced houses.

4

This is the real market in Zhengzhou, the so-called "first big city where housing prices fell".

For Zhengzhou, the Golden Nine and Silver Ten in 2020 will be autumn in the main city, early winter in the outer suburbs, and late winter around Zhengzhou.

However, when the time goes back three years, it is a different scene. It is spring in the main city, early summer in the outer suburbs, and midsummer around Zheng.

In the new outer suburbs, you can wake up with one soil pat, you can be excited by two soil pats, and you can climax with three soil pats. During the rising market period, if housing prices in a new suburban city rise by 30% a year, it can only be said to be passing. A rise of 50% a year can only be said to be in line with expectations. Doubling in a year can be considered excellent.

However, during the market downturn, when all the excitement subsides, these suburban new cities can be described by a bad saying - the higher you jump, the harder you fall.

Therefore, whether the new district rises or falls, it will greatly exceed people's expectations. This is the law of the market, a law that does not change according to human will.

However, the biggest problem is that for those who invest in houses, especially houses in new areas that are jumping up and down, you can accurately predict the price trend, buy at the bottom, sell at the top, and get away perfectly.

As for timing, all the experts tell you to grasp the timing of buying and selling. However, when it comes to reality, this problem has become metaphysics again, because even the housing management director cannot give you an accurate answer. , let alone you who are just an ordinary person.

5

So, although the new area is good, the premise is that you must make a good choice.

Selecting targets and sectors requires you to become an urban development expert and even require some inside information.

Although the increase in the new area is high during the up cycle, the decline will be the sharpest during the market downturn.

Choose buying time and selling time, which requires you to become a forecasting expert.

When you think that you have the ability to control everything, your best choice is of course the new district.

If you are just an ordinary person, I advise you to buy a house in the main city or even second-hand. At least no matter how bad the market is in the main city, the house will have rent, which can help you survive the long winter.

Because you and I are just ordinary people.