We ordinary people who don't understand earthquakes have to watch the excitement. See whether the east wind overwhelms the west wind or the west wind overwhelms the east wind. Wind and wind are incompatible?

In fact, in this matter, the best way is: don't trust any of them. Buffett has a famous saying: Don't ask the barber why he cut his hair.

Not for other reasons, but because of the natural limitations of human nature. Many times, we don't want to see or admit our arrogance or incompetence.

How to change the way based on accusation into the way based on communication? If everyone is arguing about right and wrong and forgets to pay attention to the result. That's the stupidest thing.

In the following, I try to explain the question of "can earthquakes be predicted" with the thinking mode introduced in Black Swan. Trying to attract jade.

It generally includes the following aspects:

1 The world we live in is a median system;

2. Three faults in human thinking;

3. Why can't earthquakes be accurately predicted and predicted?

4 failure to predict accurately does not mean that we can do nothing;

Conclusion: How should we deal with the unpredictable future?