In life, we often think about decision trees

In life, most of us use decision tree thinking-try every road, fail, and then come back to try another road. As a result, people are old when they try.

There is a metaphor in Liu Cixin's book to describe this decision tree thinking, which is very appropriate:

It also reminds us that when we really do things, we must not blindly exclude invalid options as much as possible to reduce the cost of trial and error.

People's thinking is hierarchical. To avoid blind choice, we often need to upgrade a thinking level to solve it. The following four modes of thinking will make you go further and more leisurely on the long road of life.

1

Final thinking

Charles Munger has a classic saying:

Before you do anything, stop for a while and think about it, and see if you can get some useful inspiration.

what is final thinking? Simply put, it is to go back to the future, to the end, and then start thinking from the end and push back to the present.

There is a book called Only Paranoia Can Survive, and its author andy grove is the ultimate practitioner of terminal thinking.

There is a story about andy grove:

At one time, Intel was faced with a life-and-death strategic transformation. But the company's executives are still hesitant and hesitant.

One day, andy grove looked out of the window and suddenly turned to ask Gordon a legendary sentence:

"What do you think he will do if we are kicked out and the board finds a new CEO?"

Gordon said without thinking, "He will quit the memory chip business immediately."

Grove thought for a while and said to Gordon, "Why don't we walk out that door, then" fire ourselves "and do it ourselves?"

this is the final thinking, or an application of reverse thinking. As an old saying in China goes:

2

Gray thinking

Shen Wansan in Ming Dynasty was a man who knew the way of gray.

when he was young, he did a tea business. When new tea came on the market, he followed the caravan to the place of origin to buy it.

Shen Wansan's family is too small to compete with big firms with strong financial resources, and the acquisition of good tea is almost hopeless.

seeing this situation, Shen Wansan gave up buying tea and focused on the bamboo basket for tea.

he bought all the bamboo baskets and sold them to tea merchants in need at a price three times higher than the market price, and finally earned a lot of money.

Life dilemma is like Shen Wansan's "tea dilemma", and the answers to many questions are not either A or B.

I have heard a saying:

Not being bound by self-knowledge, not being binary in everything, and accepting the multifaceted nature of things will also blur right and wrong.

Try to think about problems and look at the world with "gray thinking".

Only by opening up the dimension of self-cognition can a person integrate the process to the maximum extent and reach the result.

3

Bright thinking

People who are really good know how to look for bright spots first.

There is a paper mill in Germany, which forgot to add paste in the process of producing paper, so the paper made was too porous to be used, which brought irreparable losses to the company.

Just as everyone expressed their regret, an employee thought, "Can you find a way to make use of this batch of waste products?"

The employee thought it over and over again, and he came up with an idea: since this paper is easy to seep, it is better to change it into absorbent paper.

as a result, this enterprise has produced a new product, and the sales volume is very good.

People with "bright thinking" are good at jumping out of the current predicament and seeing the bright side of things.

when you are in deep trouble, you might as well try to look at the problem with "bright thinking".

Everything is good at finding advantages from shortcomings, and at the same time, it can turn disadvantages into advantages and disadvantages into advantages.

4

Integrated thinking

Excellent people rarely reject external information.

They are like a sponge. As long as it is water, it will be sucked in and looked at, and then the useful things will be picked out.

They are good at integrating and extracting valuable things from external information.

Just like Jobs went to India for inspiration. Who would have thought that a trip to India could create one of the most perfect products in the world?

excellent people are good at opening their pores, fully feeling the things in the world, hungry like sponges, and humble like beginners.

because some things seem useless, but they are actually useless. It will subtly transform you and affect the key decisions you make at critical times.

Source | People's Forum Network