Seeing that the West continued to provide military aid to Ukraine and continued to train the Ukrainian army, which made Russia unable to complete the set goal of "demilitarization" of Ukraine, Putin decided to implement partial mobilization for the first time after the war. Just yesterday, local mobilization activities began. Russian President Vladimir Putin stated that citizens who are currently reserve citizens, have served in the armed forces, and have certain military expertise and related experience will be conscripted into the army. He pointed out that given that Western countries have begun nuclear intimidation and threatened to use weapons of mass destruction against Russia, "Russia will use all available means when its territorial integrity is threatened. This is not intimidation." Putin emphasized that Russia is and has been Similarly, we are stopping those who seek to dominate the world and threaten to divide and enslave Russia.

At the same time, Russian Defense Minister Shoigu pointed out in an interview that it is not so much that Russia is fighting Ukraine. Fight collectively against the West. In his view, Western countries are not only providing a large amount of weapons to Ukraine, but more than 150 Western military personnel are stationed in Kiev, which is actually a headquarters. However, when Ukraine lost half of its army, that is, more than 100,000 people, including 61,207 dead and 49,368 injured, Russia will implement a partial mobilization order and recruit 300,000 reservists.

Obviously, Russia is now preparing for a war of attrition, because Ukraine has a large population, and Western countries continue to provide weapons to Ukraine and train the Ukrainian army, so that every once in a while, Ukraine will There is a steady stream of troops. Some time ago, Ukraine launched a counterattack in Kharkiv, which made Russia realize that it was not fighting Ukraine. Ukraine was only sending troops, and Western countries not only provided money but also weapons and equipment, which meant that Russia was fighting the West.

Under such circumstances, Russia’s use of only 200,000 troops in border areas is obviously insufficient. Since the Ukrainian economy has been crushed and most people have no other livelihood than joining the army, more and more Ukrainians will join the army, which changes the nature of Russia's special military operations.

However, although Russia is preparing to fight a war of attrition with the West, Russia is still relatively rational and has not declared war on Ukraine. This also means that there is still room for maneuver in this conflict, and Russia may withdraw its troops at any time. And if Russia declares war on Ukraine, there will be no turning back. The result will be either a Russian victory or an internal coup. It can be seen from this that the possibility of Russia declaring war on Ukraine is very low.

Russia’s overall strategy has not changed significantly now. It is still delaying the change, because it is unrealistic to completely defeat the West with Russia’s power. After all, there are too many Western countries. For Russia, it can defeat the West. When the country stops aiding Ukraine, it has achieved its strategic goal.

It can be seen from this that this conflict will not escalate, but it will be a disaster for Europe. Serious political turmoil has occurred in European countries, and people continue to demonstrate, which may push the EU to the brink of disintegration. Under such circumstances, European countries should not continue to ignite the Ukrainian war, but should actively mediate the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and allow Ukraine and Russia to sign an armistice agreement as soon as possible. Because Ukrainian President Zelensky cannot accept the loss of territory, if he accepts it, it will be tantamount to being a "traitor" and may be ousted.

Only when the Ukrainian people hold anti-war demonstrations, Western countries stop providing war support to Ukraine and help Ukraine with construction, and Russia and Ukraine sign an armistice agreement, can the final problem be solved, otherwise this war will continue If it continues, it will be a lose-lose war for Europe and Russia, and the ultimate winner will be the United States, which has been suppressing China. Therefore, from a Chinese perspective, this war should end as soon as possible to prevent the United States from becoming too powerful and acting recklessly in Asia.