From 2005 to 2009, China's IT market will maintain an average annual growth rate of 15.8%. Judging from the changing trend of the market structure, the share of computer hardware products will continue to decline, while the share of software and IT services will continue to rise. By 2009, the share of software in the IT market will reach 13.9%, and the share of IT services will reach 22.7%

After years of development, the electronic information industry, including the IT industry, has become China's national economy. pillar industries. An analysis of the development history of China's IT industry shows that domestic demand is an important driving force for the continued growth of China's IT industry. So what are the main factors that can continue to drive China's IT industry in the future? What will be the future development trend of China's IT industry?

The demand for informatization construction in China's industries and enterprises continues to grow

< p> The informatization construction of China's industries and enterprises is the direct driving force for the development of China's IT industry. In recent years, certain achievements have been made in the informatization construction of China's key industries including banking, telecommunications, and energy. Judging from future development, the focus of informatization construction in these industries will gradually shift to the construction of new business systems and the upgrading and optimization of existing application systems, which will still drive the growth of China's IT market to a certain extent. At the same time, the informatization construction of traditional industries including education, manufacturing, logistics, construction, health, and agriculture is booming. E-government is gradually becoming the main force in China's informatization construction, with emergency linkage systems and smart community construction. The urban informatization construction that is the focus is gradually getting on the right track, which will be an important force driving market growth in a certain period of time in the future.

Judging from the development of enterprise informatization, although the informatization construction of large enterprises started earlier, it already has a certain foundation. However, with the gradual improvement of China's e-commerce environment and the changes in the market competition environment after China's accession to the WTO, these enterprises will increasingly pay attention to the operational efficiency of IT application systems in terms of business fields, organizational structures, business processes and management concepts. And its integration with its own business will drive the continuous change and growth of enterprise information needs. At the same time, from the perspective of small and medium-sized enterprises, although the informatization construction of China's small and medium-sized enterprises started late and the overall level is still low, more and more small and medium-sized enterprises are paying attention to their own development and realizing the impact of informatization on their business development. important meaning. Therefore, this will become a key force driving the development of the entire IT industry in the next stage.

A good macroeconomic environment is the guarantee for the sustained and stable development of China's IT industry

In recent years, a good macroeconomic and policy environment has played a positive role in the stable growth of China's IT market; In the future, this will still be the guarantee for the sustained and stable development of the industry.

In terms of economic development, China's GDP exceeded 13 trillion yuan in 2004, an increase of 9.5% over 2003. While the economy is growing steadily, China's national economic structure continues to improve, and the ability of independent economic growth continues to increase. As the pillar of the national economy, the industrial economy has grown by 40% to 50%, of which high-tech industries have contributed about 25% to the growth of the industrial economy. In 2005, China will continue to implement prudent fiscal and monetary policies, continue to control the scale of fixed asset investment, and economic development will still be in a rapid growth range. This will create good external conditions for the stable growth of China's IT market.

From a policy perspective, in recent years, the rapid and stable growth of China's IT market has largely benefited from the promotion of the Chinese government's good policy environment. From the release of "Several Policies to Encourage the Development of the Software Industry and Integrated Circuit Industry" in 2000, to the implementation of the "Action Plan for Revitalizing the Software Industry" in 2002, and the "Informatization-driven industrialization" in the 16th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, The formulation of the development strategy of "promoting informatization through industrialization" has played a huge role in promoting the development of China's IT market. In the future, with the further implementation of the “Western Development” strategy and the gradual implementation of strategies such as revitalizing the old industrial base in Northeast China, regional economic development will drive a new round of rapid growth in informatization construction.

It can be expected that with the sustained and stable development of China's economy and the further improvement of government-related economic development policies, China's IT market will face new development opportunities.

Compared with developed countries, China’s IT market is far from saturated

After years of development, China’s IT market has reached a certain scale and has achieved success in both commercial and non-commercial markets. a wide range of applications. At present, the number of PCs in China has reached more than 40 million units, and the PC penetration rate in major cities such as Beijing and Shanghai has reached more than 30%; in the commercial market, enterprise information infrastructure has gradually become popular and the application level has gradually improved. But overall, compared with Western developed countries such as the United States, the United Kingdom, and Japan, China's IT market is far from saturated, especially in terms of the popularization of information applications. The imbalance between Chinese enterprise informatization and regional informatization has become even greater. gap with developed countries. At the same time, China is far from mature in the application of IT technology, and there is still a lot of room for improvement in aspects such as information infrastructure construction, application system upgrades and optimization, and the integration of IT technology and enterprise business.

Therefore, as China's urban informatization and industry and enterprise informatization accelerate, China's IT market has huge room for development.

In recent years, the integration of computers, communications and consumer electronics (3C) has shown an increasingly accelerated trend, which has successively given rise to the emergence of a series of products such as digital TVs and handheld computers; at the same time, IT technology It is also continuously penetrating into traditional industries such as manufacturing and automobiles, and driving technological innovation and continued growth in these industries. In the future, with the continuous integration of IT technology and traditional industries, more emerging products will be produced. For example, products and services such as automotive electronics, medical electronics, and in-vehicle information services that currently show good development prospects are the result of the integration of IT and traditional industrial technologies. According to relevant information, in China's 11th Five-Year Plan (2006-2010), the government will focus on supporting 23 IT fields such as digital TV and automotive electronics. It can be expected that with the strong support of the government and the collaboration and efforts of IT companies and traditional enterprises, China's emerging IT products and services market will have broader development prospects.

The regulatory environment of the industry still needs to be standardized, and the protection of intellectual property rights still needs to be strengthened

Overall, after years of development, the policies and regulatory environment for the development of China's IT industry are constantly improving. ; But it is undeniable that there is still a lot of room for improvement in the regulatory environment for Chinese IT companies. Take the development of e-commerce as an example. At present, the development of e-commerce in China is still in its infancy. Among large and medium-sized enterprises, less than one-third have established e-commerce systems, and most small and medium-sized enterprises have not yet established e-commerce systems; at the same time, most corporate websites are mainly used to publish product and service information, but have not yet become an important part of corporate marketing. means. It should be said that China's e-commerce started relatively early, but the regulatory environment for China's e-commerce is not yet mature. For example, as closely related to the development of e-commerce, in addition to the belated arrival of the Electronic Signature Law, other relevant important regulations are still in the research stage. In addition, due to the lack of enterprise credit system and necessary certification agencies, transactions between enterprises still cannot fully take the form of online payment. Therefore, accelerating the legal construction of the market and improving necessary legal measures are of great significance to standardizing the business behavior of IT companies and promoting the healthy development of China's IT industry.

At present, China's industry and enterprise information construction work has made great achievements, and IT systems have increasingly become an indispensable and important component in the production and operation of enterprise users. However, due to reasons such as the late start of informatization construction, some users still lack the necessary understanding of the importance of IT application systems and informatization construction, which to a certain extent restricts the application efficiency of IT systems and affects the application of the system. Effect. For example, due to the lack of necessary understanding of the importance of information security, some application systems suffer heavy losses when hackers or viruses attack; due to the lack of understanding of the value of IT services, one-sided emphasis on the value of products makes IT systems lack Necessary support and maintenance services affect the normal use of the system; due to the failure to recognize the importance of IT talents for enterprise information construction and the lack of necessary maintenance of IT systems, there are various hidden dangers in the application process of the system. In this case, not only the IT system cannot fully play its role, but it may also have an adverse impact on the normal operation of the enterprise. Therefore, in order to ensure the effective performance of IT application systems, it is necessary to enhance users' understanding of informatization through publicity and other means, so that they can truly realize the important role of IT systems in enterprise development, thereby promoting the healthy development of the IT application market.

In recent years, China's IT industry has maintained a good momentum of rapid development, but the emerging intellectual property issues in some regions, such as pirated software, have increasingly attracted the attention of the Chinese government. China's IT industry is at a critical stage of growing from big to strong, and intellectual property issues are important issues that need to be resolved in this process. Intellectual property rights not only affect the overall image of the country, but also restrict the development of enterprise product technology and weaken the enterprise's sustainable development capabilities. In fact, the Chinese government has always attached great importance to the protection of intellectual property rights and has successively formulated a number of policies and measures to protect intellectual property rights. For example, the Chinese government's increasingly strengthened government software procurement work and the nationwide special action to protect intellectual property rights organized since September 2004 fully demonstrate the importance the Chinese government attaches to intellectual property rights. The main problem currently is that IT companies lack the necessary technical support for intellectual property protection, and some IT users also lack awareness of intellectual property rights. If things continue like this, the development of China's IT industry, especially the software industry, will face huge challenges. Therefore, it will be an urgent and extremely arduous task to strengthen the protection of intellectual property rights from various aspects such as government legislation, corporate technology research and development, and changes in user awareness. This is of great significance to the healthy development of China's IT industry.

Analysis of the Development Trend of China's IT Industry

Looking into the future, China's national economy will continue to maintain steady growth, China's industries and enterprises will further deepen their informatization construction, and consumer consumption levels will gradually increase. China's IT industry has good development prospects.

From the perspective of IT market development prospects, CCID Consulting predicts that China's IT market will continue to maintain a stable growth trend from 2005 to 2009, maintaining an average annual growth rate of 15.8%. Judging from the changing trend of the market structure, the share of computer hardware products will continue to decline, while the share of software and IT services will continue to rise. By 2009, software's share in the IT market will reach 13.9%, and IT services' share will reach 22.7%.

While the market is growing steadily, China's IT industry will show the following development trends:

1. On-demand customized products and solutions will become the mainstream of enterprise-level IT applications< /p>

At present, with the gradual maturity of IT technology development and application, the informatization construction of Chinese industries and enterprises has entered a new stage. The increasing complexity and personalization of enterprise applications has increased the requirements for the products and services provided by IT companies, and their products and services are increasingly developing in the direction of adapting to user needs. More and more IT companies in the industry are providing customized products and services based on the changing and complex needs of users to facilitate users to adapt to the increasingly fierce competition environment and gain advantages in market competition. Among them, Service-Oriented Architecture (SOA) is the specific implementation of this concept. Using SOA, users can recombine and use their IT system components in new ways, and make it easier to automate business processes and share information between different systems. It is foreseeable that customized products and solutions will become the mainstream of enterprise-level IT applications in the future.