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The odds of the Rockets winning the No. 1 pick in 2002

Ranked 27th in the league with 28 wins and 54 losses

The chance of getting the No. 1 pick is 8.8%

The last place is 25%

Even if you are ranked last, you only have a 1/4 chance. In most cases, the one ranked last will not get the No. 1 pick. There are many interesting things here

1947-65: Division Draft

In the early days of the league, it was difficult for teams to attract fans to games, so teams could draft from where they were based. Before the draft begins, a team can give up a first-round pick and select a player with a high approval rating from the team's location to increase the team's prestige.

The Boston Celtics used a regional draft pick in 1965 to select Hanson from Holy Cross. Hansen averaged 18.6 points and 8.8 rebounds per game during his nine-year career and helped the Celtics win eight championships.

1966-84: Coin-flip Draft

The league began to use the coin-flip method in 1966 to determine the ownership of the No. 1 draft pick. Only the two teams with the worst records in the Eastern and Western Conferences have the right to compete for the No. 1 pick. This system lasted until 1985 when it was replaced by the current lottery system. The remaining teams determine the draft order based on wins and losses. The worse the team's record, the higher the draft pick.

In 1979, the 31-51 Chicago Bulls lost the No. 1 pick to the New Orleans Jazz, who had a record of 26-56 at the time, in a coin flip. But the Jazz at that time traded three draft picks for the Lakers' free agent Goodrich, including the first-round pick that year. The No. 1 pick in 1979 was none other than Magic Johnson from Michigan.

The following season, the Lakers, led by the rookie guard, won their second championship after moving to Los Angeles. The New Orleans Jazz at that time became the Utah Jazz later.

1985: The First Lottery

The NBA implemented a new draft lottery system before the 1985 draft to determine those who failed to make the playoffs. The first-round draft pick of the team (or the team that acquired the first-round pick via trade). After the first round of the draft, the draft will be based on the record of each team. Teams with poor records will still be ranked higher.

The number one pick in the year when the lottery draft system was implemented was 7-foot center Patrick Ewing from Georgetown. For the seven teams that failed to make the playoffs,

their chances of getting the No. 1 pick Ewing are equal. But the New York Knicks got lucky and won the big guard. When the ping-pong ball stopped bouncing, Hall of Famer Dave DeBusschere, the Knicks' general manager at the time, jumped out of his chair with joy.

Starting in 1985, Ewing played 15 seasons with the Knicks and led the team to the playoffs 13 times.

1987 to present: Three priority teams

In October 1986, NBA management revised the previous lottery system. According to the new system, the league will draw lots from the teams that failed to make the playoffs to select three teams. These three teams will receive priority draft picks. For the remaining teams that failed to reach the playoffs, the first-round draft picks are still ranked according to the team's record. This ensures that the three bottom teams in the league can get at least the No. 4 pick, while the team with the second-worst record can get at least the No. 5 pick.

In 1987, the Los Angeles Clippers' record was 12 wins and 70 losses. But they were unlucky in the draw. According to the new regulations. Got the No. 4 pick. At that time, the Spurs had a regular season record of 28 wins and 54 losses, fourth from the bottom in the league, but they were lucky enough to select center David Robinson from the Navy. That year, of the three teams with the worst records, only one drafted a top-three player: New Jersey selected guard Dennis Hopson from Ohio State.

In 1988, only one of the three bottom teams got the opportunity to choose the top three teams. The Clippers, with the lowest winning percentage, finally got the No. 1 pick of the year, and he was forward Danny Manning from Kansas.

1989 to present: only two rounds of drafts

In the early drafts, teams would continue to select until there were no available talents. The 1960 draft lasted 21 rounds. By 1974, the draft had stabilized at 10 rounds. By 1985, it was reduced to seven rounds. In 1989, the National Basketball Players Association limited the draft to only two rounds in order to give undrafted players a chance to work out with the team.

Since the implementation of the two-round draft system, eight second-round picks have participated in the All-Star Game: Jazz guard Jeff Hornacek (1992), Pistons forward Dennis - Rodman, Lakers guard Cedric Ceballos (1995), Raptors center Antonio Davis (2001), Bucks guard Michael Reid (2004), Wizards guard Gil Porter -Arenas (2005), Spurs guard Manu Ginobili (2005) and Sonics forward Rashard Lewis (2005).

In 2003, Detroit Pistons center Ben Wallace and Indiana Pacers center Brad Miller were the only undrafted players to become All-Stars.

1990 to the present: Favorable lottery system

In October 1989, the league's management further improved the draft lottery system. In the 1990 draft, due to the development of the league, 11 teams participated in the lottery.

The new rules stipulate that the team with the worst regular season record has 11 (11/66) chances to win the No. 1 pick, and the team with the second-worst record has 10 (10/66) chances to win the No. 1 pick. The top pick. Among the teams participating in the lottery, the team that failed to participate in the playoffs but has the best record has 1 (1/66) chance to get the No. 1 pick.

The Orlando Magic got lucky and won the number one draft pick for two consecutive years. In 1992, the Magic had the second-worst record in the league, with 21 wins and 61 losses. They selected the No. 1 pick that year, center Shaquille O'Neal from LSU. O'Neal helped the Magic win 20 more games, but still missed the 1993 playoffs. In the second year of the draft, despite having only a 1/66 chance of being selected No. 1 overall, the Magic selected power forward Chris Webber from the University of Michigan. The Magic immediately traded Webber to the Golden State Warriors in exchange for three draft picks and the No. 3 overall pick of the year, guard Finney "Penny" Hardaway from Memphis.

League management revised the draft rules again in 1994, increasing the chances of the weakest teams drawing the top three rookies while reducing the chances of teams with better records. This change will increase the probability that the team with the worst record will be selected as the No. 1 pick from the original 16.7% to 25%, and at the same time, the probability of the team with the best record being selected as the No. 1 pick will be reduced from the original 1.5%. to 0.5%.

Under this regulation, 14 ping pong balls marked with numbers (1 to 14) are put into a bucket. When drawing lots, 4 balls will be taken out of 14. Regardless of the order of arrangement, the total number of 4 numbers can be combined out of 1001. Before the draw, the organizers will distribute the 1,000 combinations to the teams participating in the draw based on their regular season results. After that, 4 table tennis balls will be drawn to form a combination. The team with this combination will have the No. 1 draft pick. Afterwards, the ball is returned to the bucket and the entire process is repeated to determine the No. 2 and No. 3 picks.

1996-2003: 13 teams participated in the lottery

In 1995, the NBA added two new teams, the Toronto Raptors and the Vancouver Grizzlies (now the Memphis Grizzlies ), the number of teams participating in the draw has also increased from the original 11 to the current 13. Since 1996, the team with the worst record has still had a 25% chance of winning the No. 1 pick (250 combinations); the second-to-last (20%, 200 combinations) to the sixth-to-last (6.4%, 64 combinations) hit the jackpot. The chance of getting the No. 1 pick is slightly smaller than before; the seventh-lowest team (4.4%, 44 combinations) has the same chance of getting the No. 1 pick; the eighth-lowest team (2.9%, 29 combinations) has the lowest chance of getting the No. 1 pick. The probability of No. 12 (0.6%, 6 combinations) has increased slightly. The probability of the bottom 13 (0.5%, 5 combinations) getting the No. 1 pick remains unchanged. Teams with the same record share the odds. If the sum of the odds is a cumulative number,

The two teams draw lots to determine who gets an extra percentage.

2004 to present: 14 teams participated in the lottery

Because of the Charlotte Bobcats, 14 teams participated in the 2004 draft lottery. However, the Bobcats' draft pick in 2004 was fixed at No. 4, so there was no chance of getting other picks in the lottery.