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Is there much hope for the May Day standby ticket? How can the success rate of grabbing tickets be high on May Day?
As soon as the May Day train ticket is released, it is gone, so we can only covet spare tickets. It is also cool to watch the number of people traveling. How to get tickets for May 1 day to improve the odds?

Is there much hope for the May Day standby ticket?

Look at your waiting interval and the number of trains you choose. For example, if you go from Beijing to Harbin, the alternate trains you choose are all from Beijing to Harbin, and 100% can be cashed. If you travel from Shanghai to Zhengzhou, the number of trains you choose from Shanghai to Urumqi/Chengdu is basically out of consideration (usually, but not during the May Day rush hour). If you choose the train from Beijing to Shanghai, but it stops in Nanjing, then the spare interval from Beijing to Nanjing is Beijing to Shanghai, which is also 100%. If the waiting interval is from Beijing to Nanjing, there is also a certain success rate (Nanjing is close to the terminal building, there should be some reserved tickets, but the number is certainly far less than that from Beijing to Shanghai).

How to get tickets on May Day with high success rate?

? Labor Day is coming. Labor Day 202 1 The national legal holidays are from May/KLOC-0 to May 5, and the holiday is suspended for 5 days. Among them, I will go to work on April 25th (Sunday) and May 8th (Saturday). Everyone must have planned where to travel, so hurry up and grab the train ticket.

? If you are bold enough, you can take three days off on May 6th, 7th and 8th, so that you can stay from May/kloc-0 to May 9th. I'm excited to think about it. In addition, tickets must be purchased through formal channels. There are four formal channels for ticket purchase, including 12306 official website ticket purchase, 95 105 105 telephone booking, railway station ticket window and ticket sales agency. Passengers should be careful to use third-party irregular ticketing software to purchase tickets, and beware of personal identity information disclosure. ?

? In order to cooperate with the local government to implement epidemic prevention and control measures and avoid the inconvenience caused by repeated ticket purchase to passengers, the pre-sale period of railway tickets (website, APP, window, sales outlets and other ticketing channels) is uniformly adjusted to 15 days. From 2002114, passengers who need to refund their tickets due to the change of itinerary are exempted from the refund fee, and the time limit is adjusted from more than 15 days before driving to more than 8 days before driving. Refund within 7 days will still be handled according to the regulations of more than 48 hours, 48-24 hours and 24 hours.

? Don't worry if you can't buy a ticket for the time being. According to the items listed below (for reference only), you can pick up a leak and be a "leak king", or you can easily buy a ticket.

1. Alternate ticket purchase: With the "alternate ticket purchase service" function of China Railway 12306, a passenger can reserve four tickets on two adjacent dates for alternate ticket purchase, and the success rate of "missing" is very high;

2. Leak at the beginning of the sale: After 30 minutes of sale, some unpaid tickets will flow out? The success rate of leakage is high at this time;

3. There will be a "refund tide" 8 days before departure: 8 days before departure, there will be many refunds without any handling fee. At this time, you need to take the time to find out that the success rate is higher;

4, 65438+ 0-2 days before departure: Many short-distance tickets will be put near departure, and many passengers will change their tickets for their own reasons. At this time, your chance has come again. This time is the best time to start, and the success rate of grabbing tickets is extremely high;

5. Grab the temporary opening of the train: the release time of the additional train cannot be determined, so choose a time period to grab the ticket. If there is a temporary additional train in the target time period, the system will automatically grab the ticket after the temporary additional train ticket is sold.

? The above coup of grabbing tickets should be coded quickly, and it is not sad to travel and play. In addition, I would like to remind you that because the epidemic still exists, everyone should wear masks when traveling by train, pay attention to personal hygiene, and travel and play safety first.

Why can't I get a ticket for May Day?

A probe into the reason

The superposition of returning home tourism is as hot as the Spring Festival travel rush boom

On Wednesday morning, reminded by the alarm clock "Didi", Zhang Wancheng immediately refreshed the registered official website 12306, and prepared to buy a ticket back to Beijing during the May Day holiday. In less than 10 second, the page shows that both trains are in "standby" state. "It's too difficult!" Zhang Wancheng lamented that he had not returned to his hometown for more than a year due to repeated epidemics. "I bought a ticket back two days in advance and chose a working day to leave. I didn't expect the ticket back to Beijing to be very difficult. Buying tickets on May 1 this year is as difficult as grabbing tickets in Spring Festival travel rush! "

"I have promised my child to take him to Guangzhou to play. If he doesn't go out, it will be abolished, and' May Day' must be honored. " Compared with Zhang Wancheng's It's Too Difficult, Liu Xiaolin, who shoulders the children's expectations, is lucky. In order to successfully realize the agreement, she adopted the crowd tactic-"group help" in the ticket grab early. "Scan the QR code and join the train ticket grabbing group. There are nearly 200 people in the group. Everyone keeps sending help links ... and finally catch them. "

Why is it so difficult to buy tickets for the May Day holiday this year? The survey found that, due to factors such as the prevention and control of the previous epidemic, "retaliatory tourism" and "compensatory return home" were superimposed, and the demand for travel soared. Compared with May Day on 20 19, the number of tourists this year may be higher. Even, this year's "May 1" holiday tourism demand is as hot as the "Spring Festival travel rush fever" in 20 19.

According to publicly reported data, the total number of domestic tourist receptions during the May Day holiday in 20 19 was1950,000. Reports released by several online travel platforms show that this year's "May Day" may usher in "explosive tourism". Some platforms predict that the number of tourists on May 1 this year is expected to exceed 20 19, reaching a new high of 200 million. According to the data of 12306, as of 6: 00 pm on April 17, * * sold 3 1 50,000 tickets on May19, which was more than three times that of the same period in 20 19.

The reporter noted in particular that even compared with the peak in Spring Festival travel rush in 20 19, the tickets for the May Day holiday this year did not fall in the wind at all. The Forecast Report of Residents' Travel in 20021May Day Holiday predicts that the passenger flow of railways, civil aviation and highways will reach about 250 million in the six days from April 30th to May 5th. Among them, the passenger flow of popular railway passenger lines is expected to exceed the same period level of 20 19. Earlier, it was reported that the 40-day 20 19 Spring Festival travel rush Railway had sent 4 10/00000 passengers.

"The main demand is growing. With the stability of epidemic prevention and control, there are more people with travel plans. " The reporter inquired about Ctrip travel. A customer service said that it is difficult to buy tickets during the May Day holiday, and there are also the superposition of previous factors. "Many people didn't go home for the New Year this year, and they are going to take advantage of the May Day holiday to visit relatives or have a holiday."

There are 7 trains from Chengdu to Beijing on May 5th, and only 2 trains with K prefix have tickets.

Exploration 2

The holiday front is short and the pre-sale period is also compressed.

In addition to the strong demand for visiting relatives, the reporter found that there are still some factors that increase the difficulty of purchasing tickets on May Day in disguise. For example, compared with the rush hour in Spring Festival travel rush, which often takes dozens of days, the May Day holiday is shorter, and the pre-sale period of tickets is shortened from the previous 30 days to 15 days.

12306 official website suggested shortening the pre-sale period to 15 days.

"Compared with the' Spring Festival travel rush fever', the' May Day' holiday is shorter and it is more difficult to buy tickets." Fu Yujing, who didn't grab the May Day home ticket this year, said angrily. In addition, some people think that the compression of the pre-sale period of train tickets leads to more concentrated time for everyone to buy tickets, which is another reason why it is difficult to buy tickets on May Day.

The reporter noted that in order to cooperate with the local government to implement the normalization measures for epidemic prevention and control, the pre-sale period of railway tickets (website, app, window, ticket collection point and other ticketing channels) was uniformly adjusted from 65438+29 this year to 15 days. "It turns out that you can buy tickets 30 days in advance, and there is plenty of time. Generally speaking, everyone's itinerary will be relatively changeable, and people who buy tickets and refund will not be particularly crowded. " Fan Shumin, an office worker, said that after the pre-sale period is changed to 15, everyone will be more cautious when making decisions and arrangements. "It is almost always to determine the itinerary before buying tickets, which will easily lead to passengers buying tickets in a centralized manner." In addition, holidays are often the peak of passenger flow, "it is easy to buy tickets."

"The May Day holiday has always been the peak of tourism." 12306 said the customer service of the national railway customer service hotline. In response to the question whether the ticket "second light" is in short supply or too many people buy tickets, the answer is "too many people buy tickets."

Exploration 3

The platform scalper shoots, and the high-frequency brush ticket buys the ticket.

The interview also found that some ticketing services and "scalpers" also increased the difficulty of buying tickets. At present, all major network platforms have launched a variety of ticketing services with different rules, and even six different levels of ticketing services have platforms.

Zheng Xiao plans to go to Nanjing on May 1. "I look at some third-party platforms, and generally there is a ticketing service." Many platforms will launch "two-channel ticket purchase", in which the "residual ticket monitoring channel" has been turned on by default, while the "standby ticket purchase channel" requires the user name and password of platform 12306 to complete the login.

"According to the platform, the speed of grabbing tickets can be described as' a penny for a share'." Taking Ctrip as an example, Zheng Xiao found that the speed is divided into six grades: low speed, high speed, high speed, extreme speed, light speed and VIP. Among them, there is no need to add money to grab tickets at low speed, but it shows that "it is difficult to grab tickets on ordinary networks, and there are too many people who need to queue up"; To grab tickets quickly, you need to add 10 yuan, "give away 5 power packs and enjoy the 20M fast network channel exclusively"; 50 yuan should be added to grab tickets at the speed of light, including "giving 25 power packs and enjoying the 500M speed of light network channel"; For VIP ticket grabbing, you can choose to pay 80 yuan or become svip, "give away 40 power packs and enjoy the exclusive server of 1000M ticket grabbing".

Ctrip. Com, add money to grab the ticket back to Beijing on May 5.

In flying pig travel, the success rate of grabbing tickets is further quantified. Take the G5 train from Beijing South to Nanjing South on May/KLOC-0 as an example. If you choose each courier service in 20 yuan, the expected success rate of grabbing tickets is 24.3%; If you choose each courier service in 40 yuan, it is estimated that the success rate of grabbing tickets is 25.8%; However, if each light speed service is selected in 60 yuan, the expected success rate of grabbing tickets is 29. 1%. "The difference between the types of ticketing services is not necessarily the network speed, but also the order of ticketing." The customer service said that the acceleration packages at different price points are mainly used to improve the queuing ranking.

There are also some "scalpers" who are charging "dead eyes" to grab tickets. A "non-professional scalper" admitted that he didn't have many stunts in grabbing tickets. "Just like missing tickets. I have been watching when there are many tickets, so I quickly grabbed it. "

"Whether it is inviting friends to help speed up or paying for acceleration, it is more of a gimmick." Bao Ran, deputy secretary-general of Zhongguancun Information Consumption Industry Alliance, said that high-frequency ticketing will increase the burden of the 12306 ticketing system, which may lead to the paralysis of the website, affect users' normal ticket purchase, and even constitute a serious crime of destroying computer information systems. "It is not only meaningless to spend money to grab tickets, but it may also cause privacy leaks."

Why did May Day change for five days?

Labor Day holiday arrangement: May 1 (Friday) to May 5 (Tuesday), with a holiday of ***5 days. Go to work on Sunday, April 25th and Saturday, May 8th. Specifically, May 1 is a national holiday, the 3rd and 4th are weekends, and the 2nd and 5th are changed to April 25th (Sunday) and May 8th (Saturday) respectively! It is precisely because there is one day off in the weekend two weeks before and after May Day that this year's May Day can last for five days! ?