Although the Internet is full of all kinds of "restart 2020", the reality is irreversible, especially the global outbreak of the COVID-19 epidemic, which has greatly affected the economic development of various countries. Market research company IHS? Markit？ A research report was released in April, predicting that the global sales of light vehicles, including cars and trucks, will drop by 22% this year, returning to the level of 70.3 million vehicles, of which the sales in the United States will drop by 26.6%? To 654,380+025,000 vehicles, the market in Western and Central Europe may drop by 24.9%, basically falling to a new low since 2065,438+00.

The reality may be even more cruel. In the just-concluded May, American car sales fell by 33% year-on-year, which is considered to be picking up. However, statistics from the European Automobile Manufacturers Association show that the number of new car registrations decreased by 56.8% year-on-year. Although it is much smaller than the decline of 78% in April, it is also the worst May since 1990 began to count sales. In addition, the Japanese market decreased by 44.9% year-on-year, which was the eighth consecutive month of decline in local car sales.

Relatively speaking, China, which has achieved staged victory in fighting the epidemic, has become a lifeline for global car companies. In terms of production and sales, domestic data in May has increased by 18.2% and 14.5% year-on-year. Although the total sales volume in the first five months of this year decreased by 22.6% year-on-year, according to the prediction of China Automobile Industry Association, the automobile sales volume in China will only decrease by 65,438+00-20% in 2020.

Next year's Geneva Motor Show has been cancelled in advance, but with the second half of 2020, the Chengdu Motor Show on July 24th and the Beijing Motor Show on September 26th will continue to ignite the domestic auto market, and many new cars will land on the market one after another, which will help the car companies to go against the wind. Drivers list new cars that may be unveiled in the next six months, and forcibly enter CP to provide some reference for potential consumers with budget.

BMW 5 Series &; Mercedes-Benz E-Class: Mid-term change to battle

The new BMW 5 Series has been listed in South Korea and will meet domestic consumers as soon as September. Although it is a mid-term redesigned model, I think its shape is as subversive as the new generation, but everyone will not feel fresh about it. After all, the new 5 series and the current 3 series can be seen at a glance as brothers and have doll potential. However, in the interior part, the new 5 Series retains the design style of the current model, and only adds the central control panel with iD7, so it should be difficult to expand the space. However, 48V weak mixing system is widely used in powertrain, which has become one of the few bright spots.

Mercedes-Benz E-Class will also usher in a mid-term change. This new car was released overseas in March, and the public opinion was mixed, especially inheriting the "four-eye headlights" elements of W2 10 and W2 13. This time, the symbolic outline of running lights has been abandoned in recent days, and the controversial triangular taillights have weakened the business temperament of the new E-class and highlighted the trend of youthfulness. As for the interior, the capacitive steering wheel and MBUX are new elements. On the powertrain, Mercedes-Benz and BMW also bet on the 48V weak hybrid system. In addition, the two models will also involve intelligent assisted driving technology.

Not surprisingly, BMW 5 Series and Mercedes-Benz E-Class will continue the existing price system after the mid-term change, and with the increase of preferential margin, the monthly sales of Mercedes-Benz E-Class can return to 65,438+0-65,438+0.3 million, while BMW 5 Series will remain at the level of 65,438+0.2-65,438+0.5 million.

Red flag H9 &；; DS9: Carnival of a few people

At the upcoming Changchun Auto Show, the price of the red flag H9 may be announced. It was previously speculated that the starting price of the 2.0T model would reach 350,000. However, considering that Audi A6L is a competitive product and the price system of Hongqi model is stable, drivers expect that the entry price of Hongqi H9 may be less than 300,000.

Even so, Hongqi H9 expanded the ceiling of China brand cars. After all, this mid-size car with longitudinal rear-drive has two supercharged power options, 2.5T and 3.0T The heroic appearance and the interior full of technology have surprised many consumers. If the final price is reasonable, Hongqi H9 has every chance to become a cash cow like HS5, and it is not surprising that the monthly sales volume reaches 2,000-3,000 vehicles.

If the red flag H9 is the crown of China cars, then the crown of French cars can be worn on the head of DS9. As the flagship model of DS brand, it originated from EMP? The DS9 of Platform 2, a Mercedes-Benz E-Class with a size close to the standard wheelbase, is full of French laziness in design details, and the interior is full of DS's consistent exaggeration. It is particularly worth mentioning that DS9 not only promotes the 1.8T model, but also the plug-in hybrid version composed of 1.6T and motor.

Although the French cars are sinking in an all-round way, it is expected that the domestic sales of DS9 are likely to match that of DS7, and it is not surprising that the monthly sales are double digits. However, DS itself is not here. The European market is the main battlefield of DS9. After all, all DS9s in the world will be produced in China.

Volkswagen CC station wagon &; Ford Focus Travel Edition: Be sure to buy it next time

"I'll recommend it if you buy it" and "I'll definitely buy it next time" are the embarrassments faced by the station wagon in China market: after numerous fans welcomed all kinds of official maps and news reports, Volkswagen and Ford really introduced CC and Focus station wagons to China, and presumably the result would only be three-digit monthly sales.

Of course, I still want to thank Volkswagen and Ford for their courage. After all, others have invested real money. Actually, the CC station wagon didn't follow the overseas version of Arteon? Shoot? In terms of brakes, FAW-Volkswagen still repositions itself according to the domestic situation: from the pictures in the catalogue of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the chassis height of the domestic CC station wagon is higher, and the luggage rack is added, but the design details such as the sports grille and the hollow bumper still retain the overseas version. If FAW-Volkswagen finally starts at a price of around 260,000, then the CC station wagon must have enough discounts to attract buyers.

The white body of Fox Travel Edition rolled off the assembly line at Changan Ford at the end of last month. Like faw-Volkswagen, it is also in fox Active? On the basis of the station wagon, the domestic adjustment was made. The main change is that there are more chrome-plated parts, and the area of the net in the front face is greatly increased, which is close to the sharp edge with the "open eyes" light group. Of course, Fox Travel Edition still retains Fox Active. The practical modeling of the station wagon, the power combination of 1.5T and 8AT will also be the main collocation. The estimated price can refer to Fox Active, and the starting price within 15000 will not be surprising.

Kia K5 &；; Modern Sonata: Hyenas Survival

Hyenas, a popular Korean drama this year, tells a bloody struggle for existence. For Korean car companies, the future of China market also needs to be sacrificed.

Kia made great efforts for the brand-new K5, not only imported a batch of Korean versions for consumers to taste in advance, but also arranged a test drive experience for the media in advance. The brand-new K5, which will be pre-sold at Chengdu Auto Show, has been replaced with the latest design elements of Kia family, and is full of youthful breath of hormones. At the same time, its body size is also in a leading position in the same class. With a rich configuration list and two kinds of power, 1.5T/2.0T+8AT, it will not lose to most rivals in hardware.

Like KIA K5, Hyundai Sonata, which also comes from the i-GMP platform, just gave the pre-sale price of 1648-205800 at the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Auto Show, the latest Sensuous of Hyundai Family? The sporty design concept makes it look very recognizable, and the penetrating taillights are also quite eye-catching, but the measurements are slightly lower than KIA K5. As the tenth generation model in the eyes of the brand, the interior of the new Sonata has entered a new era, especially the 12.3-inch dual screen of the instrument panel and center console is very scientific and technological.

However, judging from the previous positioning, the listing price of Hyundai models on July 22nd should be slightly higher than that of Kia K5. Of course, this is not a decisive loser. After all, the life of Korean car companies will not be easy. Although it is difficult for these two brother models to return to the peak state, we still need to work together to break the three-digit monthly sales and strive for each 1 1,000-2,000 units.

Volkswagen Golf &; Honda Civic hatchback: not to mention steel guns

Once upon a time, as long as the hatchback loved to pack itself with "small steel guns", after all, in that era when the hatchback was called a car, it was difficult to sell the hatchback without exercise to draw a face.

Time has passed, who would have thought that there would be so many fans calling on Dongfeng Honda to introduce Civic hatchback like a tsunami every day? Perhaps these friends are ready for the type? R modified parts. But Dongfeng Honda is ungrateful and has always been a Civic? The concept car of the hatchback confuses the audience, probably because the Civic hatchback version has its own sports enclosure and central exhaust pipe on the declaration map of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, which will make the refit shop suffer heavy losses. Judging from the existing information, the domestic hatchback Civic is likely to be more expensive than the sedan version, and the sales of the sedan version will be diverted to a great extent after the sale. By then, the hatchback Civic can bear the sales of 80,000 vehicles, and the two models will work together to stabilize the monthly sales of 20,000-23,000 vehicles, which will be an optimistic result.

Tracing back to the source, Honda Civic originated from the hatchback version, just like Volkswagen's eighth generation golf is the orthodox successor. After the mid-term change, the seventh generation golf has been in a state of chaos under the impact of Japanese compact cars, and the monthly sales volume is difficult to break through 1 10,000, so the new generation golf has always been highly anticipated by the public. However, the upgrade of the new car did not have a leap-forward effect. The design details of the eighth generation golf are somewhat subtle, and the body size has not increased significantly. Even the powertrain still follows the current model, and it is difficult to directly hit people's hearts with more scientific and technological interiors-perhaps the public's mind has already flown to ID.3? According to the available data, the monthly sales volume of the eighth generation golf can generally be maintained at the level of 8000- 10000 sets. If you want to return to the glory of the sixth generation golf, you have to work harder.

BYD Han & Geely Foreword: You are the most beautiful in my eyes.

Geely once called Borui "the most beautiful China car", but this subjective definition is easily broken. For example, BYD Han really wants to sit in this position.

This BYD flagship NEDC energy sedan with a pre-sale price of 230,000-280,000 yuan will be launched on July 10. In addition to the hybrid DM models equipped with 2.0T engines, EV models equipped with lithium iron phosphate leaf batteries have attracted more attention, especially the single-motor Hanergy's battery life of 605km, and of course the outstanding performance of the dual-motor model of 3.9 seconds 0-100 km/h..

In addition to performance data, Han's design is quite mature. It evolved more attractive details under the element of BYD's "Dragon", which made BYD Han have an outstanding impression under the length of nearly 5 meters. Of course, Geely does not want to give up its "most beautiful" position. It is expected that the new CMA platform car released in September will be based on the foreword concept car. Although the positioning of this new car is far lower than that of BYD Han, it is a supplement between Emgrand GL and Borui, but the details such as shield-shaped straight waterfall air intake grille and rear sliding shape still illustrate Geely's iteration in design language.

Although BYD claims that Korea has received more than 20,000 orders, the price is still fluctuating, and it is expected that the monthly sales will remain at 2,000-3,000 units in the future. In contrast, the production version of Geely Preface may be priced at around11-kloc-0/60,000, and the more grounded positioning needs to help it obtain the monthly sales of 3,000-5,000 units.

Buick Angkor S? & amp？ Toyota Highlander: Traffic Star

Drivers have already experienced Buick Angkewei S in Shanghai. Although the name only adds one letter, it is also a replacement product. At the same time, the length and height have been slightly reduced, and the wider lateral area and longer wheelbase have kept the riding experience of Angkor S at a high level. Moreover, from the design style, Buick injected more sheep placenta into Angkewei S, and the lines and details were more dynamic. The launch of the Avia version also ensures its sense of luxury. Judging from the current information, the future Angkor S will be sold at the same time as the cash Angkor. If Buick can control the price of the entry-level 2.0T model within 250,000 and the price of the Avia version is around 300,000, the monthly sales of Buick Angkewei S can still be 6,000-8,000 units, and the preferential margin is sufficient, but it is difficult to form the monthly sales of 1+ 1 & with Angkewei. The effect of 2.

Although the pricing is similar, GAC Toyota will not have the idea of letting Highlander have two generations under one roof. The brand-new Highlander, which has been released overseas, doesn't have many secrets. Although the design language has not changed dramatically, the details of the upgrade are enough to make it more rigid. The flatter outline makes this SUV itself seem a bit moderate. It's a little dynamic. In terms of creating a sense of technology in the car, the progress of the new Highlander is more obvious. With its proud space utilization rate, I believe that Toyota dealers can continue to increase their monthly sales by 8,000 vehicles at the same guiding price-after all, GAC Toyota's only rival is FAW Toyota Highlander, which will be put into production next year.

Honda Fit&; Land Rover Defender: Who is the diode?

It is foreseeable that these two models will run counter to each other in terms of sales volume and word of mouth.

The new Honda Fit will undoubtedly make Japanese car fans crazy. Although it is difficult to confuse it with super-running, the magic seat and electronic handbrake disappear from the configuration list, and the long-awaited hybrid system is far away. However, considering the practicality and cost performance, the new Fit will still be the top stream in the market segment, and the monthly sales volume will reach 1- 1.5 million.

However, since the spy photos flowed out, Land Rover Defenders received bad reviews. Although the product strength has been greatly improved compared with the old model, the span after the replacement far exceeds that of the Mercedes-Benz G-Class from W463 to W464, which subverts the impression of the traditional off-road vehicle fans on the name "Guardian"-if it is found 5, it will not bear these criticisms. Moreover, the threshold for the pre-sale price of the new Land Rover Defender is 790,000, which is almost twice the price of the local market, which directly discourages those who are shy in their pockets. Range Rover Star Pulse is likely to become its trend template, and the final monthly sales volume can reach 500-800 units, which has reached the standard.

Weilai EC6? & amp？ Tesla model? Y: sniper

In the third NIO last year? On April, Wei Lai showed the coupe version ES6-EC6 in the case of ET7 jumping tickets. Although in the plan, Weilai will deliver EC6 in September this year, this new energy vehicle company has not even announced the pre-sale price, but hopes to be based on Tesla models? The pricing of y was precisely attacked.

Actually, Tesla model? Y gave an estimated price very early: 488,000 for the long-life all-wheel drive version and 535,000 for the high-performance version. But obviously, this price is only for the pre-sale price of imported models, and insiders revealed that a large number of new equipment has settled in Tesla Shanghai factory, Model? It will definitely be put into production within y years, and there is even news that there are already two models made in China? The Y trial car went off the assembly line. It seems that there is still a reason for Musk's dance.

According to the domestic model? 3 pricing, Tesla models made in Shanghai? Even if Y only produces the all-wheel drive version, it is believed that the final price will be within 400,000, and even there is room for further reduction in the future, which also makes the pricing of Weilai EC6 basically benchmark-from the price of ES6, the starting price of EC6 sports version is around 380,000, which is reasonable.

However, from the sales forecast, it is difficult for Weilai EC6 to compete with Tesla models. On a par. Coupe SUVs have always been relatively small, and EC6 estimates that it is good to have 300-500 cars per month, but Model? Y is another trump card for Tesla to expect monthly sales to exceed 10,000.

Mercedes-Benz GLA & Audi A3: Price is king.

Although domestic car sales are generally sluggish, the life of mainstream luxury brands is still very comfortable. The important reason is that these traditional giants have lowered the entry threshold and facilitated young people.

At the just-concluded Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Auto Show, Mercedes-Benz released a brand-new GLA in a low-key manner. This compact SUV may be officially launched in August. Due to the switch to 1.3T power, it is expected that the price will be lowered to around 250,000.

I have to say that Mercedes-Benz's brand-new family design language is more suitable for small-size models. The new GLA is obviously more exquisite and dynamic than the cash, and the same interior style as the new A-class is also easy to impress young users. The actual book data of the controversial 1.3T engine is slightly better than the current entry-level version of 1.6T, at least it will not make friends who are afraid of three-cylinder engines chilling.

GLA is no longer a hot-selling model of Mercedes-Benz. This replacement should promote its sales, and it can stably sell more than 5000 units per month. However, SUVs produced on the same platform will always have more premium, and consumers who pay attention to cost performance will be more willing to choose cars like Audi A3.

The new A3 was released in March this year, but it has already appeared in the catalogue of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology. According to relevant data, at least the wheelbase of the new A3 hatchback version has not been increased. Audi will continue to use the current 1.4T engine and will not switch to the overseas version of 1.5T power for the time being. Of course, the price of the new A3 will be the killer. Although Audi is a bit shabby in materials, it is expected that the starting price of new cars will continue to be 654.38+0.8 million. With this affordable pricing and a new generation of design style, I believe that consumers who shout "It smells good" can stabilize the monthly sales of the new A3 at 7000-9000 units.

Hippocampus 7X? & Roewe iM8: I heard that the spring of MPV is coming.

Although many car companies use the concept of "second child" to package MPVs, except Toyota Erffa, Buick GL8, Honda Odyssey, Alice can really sell them.

Looking back more than a decade ago, Prima hippocampus was also a popular niche in the MPV field. Premacy, based on Mazda's development for the European market at the beginning of the century, inherited the glorious tradition of HNA Mazda HMC6450d, and once ranked among the top MPV sales lists with an annual sales volume of about 20,000 vehicles. However, Haima, who lives by selling houses, can't expect this 7X to come back to life. Although the pre-sale price of13-170,000 is not too high, the layout of six seats/seven seats and the power combination of1.5t+6at/1.6tgdi+6at are also mainstream, and even the face value of the hippocampus 7X is not bad, but for most of them,

SAIC Roewe will have a better brand appeal. The iM8 released by Roewe Brand Day also continues the details of Roewe Vision-iM concept car, and the overall look and feel is more aura, quite a Japanese MPV style. However, relatively speaking, it is expected that the price of Roewe iM8 will not be too low. If the starting price is in line with Chuanqi GM8, the price range should be around18-260,000 yuan, and the final sales volume is likely to stay at1500-2,500 units.

Text || Max

Figure | Network

This article comes from car home, the author of the car manufacturer, and does not represent car home's position.