1, imbalance between supply and demand: demand grows faster than supply, and the international crude oil trading market rises;
2. The global economic recovery is slow: the cause of the epidemic has led to economic faults. In order to ensure the economy, the judgment of crude oil demand in the market outlook still depends on the process of economic recovery, but it is still unclear;
3. Import tariff increase: In order to ensure the long-term operation of the country and control the market, the tax levied on petroleum is relatively high, accounting for more than 40% of the domestic refined oil price;
4. OPEC restrictions: there are international restrictions on the oil supply of various countries. In the case that the international oil price continues to rise, the whole will be adjusted according to the international economic response;
5. Affected by epidemic situation: overseas crude oil exploitation is depressed due to large-scale epidemic situation;
6. Russia-Ukraine conflict.
But after this continuous rise, oil prices began to show signs of downward adjustment. In fact, from an international perspective, while the oil price in China is rising, the international oil price is actually falling.
On April 8, the fifth working day, the reduction rate was 5 10 yuan/ton, which was converted into a reduction of 0.39-0.44 yuan/liter. At present, the domestic oil price cycle statistics have been more than half. On the 5th working day, the change rate of crude oil was-12.0 1%, and the predicted downward adjustment was over 5 10 yuan/ton.