In the early morning of September 6th, the China men's soccer team was forced to stop the Russian World Cup at the Khalifa Stadium in Doha, Qatar, where the opening match of the 2022 World Cup was held.

Interestingly, many media and fans have given a tolerant attitude to the failure of the national football team to attack the World Cup, thinking that "the future of the national football team can be expected, and returning to the World Cup is not a dream". Some people sang praises for Lippi, claiming that China football can "start all over again" and get good results in the next World Cup qualifiers.

However, looking at the history of football development in China and even in the world, the "sharp evaluation" of Beijing time thinks that China football will never "start all over again", but will face more severe challenges.

The first major challenge is time.

Time is not a friend of China football. Lippi is 69 years old this year, and it is still doubtful whether he can make it to the next World Cup qualifier. Meanwhile, Zheng Zhi, Xiao Zhi, aged 32, Feng Xiaoting, aged 365,438+0, Zhao Xuri, Gao Lin, aged 365,438+0, Yu and 30 are the main players in the team. As they get older, these people are likely to quit the national team after the Asian Cup. So are there really enough new generation players in China now?

Then let's take a look at the current echelon situation of China football. China Youth Team, which was once the pride of China Men's Football Team and had the success of beating the world's top teams, has missed the 6th World Youth Championship of 12 since 2005.

In last year's Asian Youth Championship, the national youth team lost to Australia and Tajikistan in the first two rounds, lost two games and failed to score 1, and was eliminated from the quarter-finals one round ahead of schedule. In the end, Uzbekistan drew 0-0, and was lucky to get 1 point, ranking 13, avoiding the bottom and barely counting the last face.

Why is this happening? I'm afraid it has something to do with the football environment in China. According to the data published in "China Football Development Forum 20 16", only one team in Henan Jianye has no record of players over the age of 30 in the Super League 16 season. Among the top 16 teams in the Super League, three teams have experienced the phenomenon that veterans over 30 have played more than 10000 minutes.

To this end, the Football Association had to introduce mandatory rules for U23 players to play. Although some players such as Wei have gained a firm foothold in the main position, the effect of this regulation was quickly dispelled by the team's rapid substitution, which made a large number of U23 players play purely in form. On the one hand, it can be said that the management ability of the Football Association is too weak, on the other hand, it also highlights that the overall level of U23 players is poor and the club is unwilling to use it.

Looking forward to the next World Cup qualifiers, can these U23 players shoulder the heavy burden? Who is the next Zheng Zhi? Who is the next Zhao Xuri? Who is the next Feng Xiaoting? Even if Lippi leads the team, are these players really worth hiring?

In fact, China football has many experiences of "losing", "regretting" and "one foot appeared", so in order to boost morale, there are slogans such as "start all over again", "forget the past" and "start over" every time. In fact, the result of "starting over" is often "repeated failure", the result of "forgetting the past" is often "reappearing the past", and the result of "starting over" is often "failure from the beginning".

The reason is that the development of football has its objective laws, what is planted is rewarding, and what is committed is rewarding. Although the national football team lost this time, it was unlucky to lose to Syria. In the early stage, there was a problem of Gao Hongbo's coaching level, but in the final analysis, the overall level of China's men's football team was not as good as others. If the fifth place in the group doesn't represent the real level now, who can guarantee to beat Australia and win the World Cup finals after entering the play-offs?

It is worth noting that Australia lost 2-0 to the Japanese team, which was a very important factor for Australia to win the Asian Cup and participate in the play-offs, while Tamara Asano Nagaakira and Ideguchi Yang Jie broke through the door of Australia. Tomimo Asano Nagaakira was born in 1994 and Yosuke Ideguchi was born in 1996. A 23-year-old and a 2 1 year-old are exactly what we call U23-age players, which really makes people feel deeply.

So for the next World Cup qualifiers, it is good to keep Lippi, but what is the capital of the so-called "start all over again" in China football? Where did you get the confidence to shout "It will be better next time"?

For today's sake, it's good to expect better performance in the next World Cup qualifiers, but I'm afraid we need to start now. It's only ten years since China's football dropped from first-class in Asia to second-class or even third-class. If we don't really make changes, try our best to train young players and give them more opportunities to play, we may not be able to fill this big hole just by Lippi's magical performance. However, if we are still happy because of this, and think that China football is promising and promising, and even the old drama of "Healing the scar and forgetting the pain" is still being staged, then I am afraid that China football will experience even more painful failure in the future.