The Ukrainian National News Agency reported on September 13 that the Ukrainian Ministry of the Interior announced on the same day that the Ukrainian armed forces, the Ukrainian National Guard, the State Border Service, the territorial defense forces, and the Ukrainian Ministry of the Interior forces were holding the 2022 Northern Storm military exercise in the border area between Ukraine and Belarus.
Obviously, this is a multi-arms joint military exercise. Ukrainian troops are fighting Russian and pro-Russian armed forces in eastern and southern Ukraine, and they can also send troops of various services and arms to hold joint military exercises in border areas, which shows that the strength of Ukrainian troops is getting more and more sufficient, which is in stark contrast to the shortage of Russian troops. This is impressive!
Why did the Ukrainian army hold the 2022 Northern Storm military exercise in the border area with Belarus after winning in Kharkov? The obvious intention is to "encourage" peace-loving Belarus to stand firm and carry out peace to the end. More importantly, Ukraine has released an important signal:
The Russian army's retreat from Kharkov became a turning point in the Russian-Ukrainian war-before that, Russia led the attack, Ukraine defended with all its strength, and the initiative of the war was firmly controlled by Russia; After that, the dominance of the war quietly shifted to Ukraine, the Ukrainian army led the attack on the battlefield, the Russian army entered a comprehensive defensive posture, and the Russian-Ukrainian war turned white-hot.
A few days ago, the Ukrainian army launched a Kharkov counterattack, forcing 30,000 Russian troops and pro-Russian armed forces to throw away all kinds of heavy equipment, go into battle lightly, and retreat to Donetsk in an orderly manner. Ukrainian troops recovered more than 1. 1 ,000 square kilometers in the east.
More cruelly, the Ukrainian army did not stop attacking and chasing. It is attacking Hongliman, a military town in Wudong. At present, Hong Liman's garrison is the second army of pro-Russian armed Lugansk. On June 5438+04, a large number of Russian troops urgently reinforced the Red Man, which may be part of the Russian Third Army. The exact scale is unknown. Is the Russian reinforcement of Lieberman a counterattack against Hikoum? Or build a new line of defense in Friedman? Or rescue the defenders?
Kharkov, the strategic logistics fulcrum, and Kupyansk, the campaign logistics fulcrum, were both recovered by the Ukrainian army in Kharkov's big counterattack a few days ago. The Russian military's logistics fulcrum is too far away from here. Without logistical support, it is impossible for the Russian military to counterattack Hikoum! Of the two rivers on which Hongliman relies, the Oskol River in the west is under the control of the Ukrainian army, while the North Donetsk River in the south, the Ukrainian army has crossed the North Donetsk River and established a bridgehead on the north bank. If Russian troops want to build a new defense line in Hongliman, Hongliman will become another sad place for Russian troops in Hikoum.
So from a military point of view, the real purpose of Russian reinforcements to Lieberman is to rescue the Second Army of Lugansk. Why risk rescuing this pro-Russian armed force? Because Lugansk's militia forces were either annihilated by Ukrainian troops or defeated, only Lugansk's second army was left on the battlefield. If the Russian army doesn't go to the rescue and watch the Second Army of Lugansk be wiped out by the Ukrainian army, the hearts of the Russian people in Lugansk will completely collapse, even though the local democracy is Russian.
In other words, the purpose of Russian reinforcements to Hong Liman is to save people, not to hold their ground. The important town of Hongliman will soon be captured by the Ukrainian army. Losing the dividend, Lugansk's door is wide open, and the Russian army must hold the new defense line of North Donetsk-Lichichansk. Once this line of defense is breached, it will be a Ma Pingchuan, unable to stop the Ukrainian attack, and Lugansk will be recovered by the Ukrainian army!
At the same time, the Ukrainian army has assembled a large number of troops in Zapolo State, waiting for the opportunity; Ukrainian troops violently attacked Hellson and gradually recovered some lost territory. The defensive pressure of Russian troops is increasing, especially the 20,000 Russian troops stationed in Hellson. This is not good.
To put it simply, whether in eastern or southern Ukraine, the Ukrainian army is in an offensive posture, and the Russian army and pro-Russian armed forces are in an active or passive defensive posture. Therefore, Ukraine announced that the dominance of the Russian-Ukrainian war had been transferred through the battlefield situation and the 2022 northern storm military exercise in the border area bordering Belarus. From now on, Ukrainian troops will attack and Russian troops will defend.
Of course, this is only a unilateral gesture and "declaration" of Ukraine. It is worth observing whether Russia will accept or reverse the war. After all, Russia is the third largest military power in the world with great potential. More importantly, Russia can't afford to lose and must try its best to win.