Unfortunately, Obama's painstaking efforts made ghosts and rumors fly all over the sky, and Comrade Trump, who was deeply loved by everyone, was "abolished" as soon as he took office. What is strange about TPP is that it excludes China from joining. Their excuse is that "China can't meet the conditions for joining", which means that it is not qualified, but some countries in Asia that are not as good as China can easily get involved (you can search its member countries if you are interested). The withdrawal of the United States from TPP suddenly made the organization limp like a mangy dog. Originally, this organization was established in the United States, and it was almost over (Obama was leaving, and the next Hillary did not win the election. He was afraid that the organization he had worked so hard to piece together would fall apart, so he lowered the standard and pressured countries to sign it, which was only one step away from the discussion and approval of national legislatures. Who knows, when Comrade Trump came to power, he didn't care about Obama's hard work at all. He also blamed many things on Obama, and made a "exit" with a stroke of a pen. Trump likes to "fight alone" and play "personal heroism." Their styles are different, and the results are naturally different.
The leader is gone, what about TPP? The member countries did not stop, especially Japan, and felt that he had finally established a "circle" and was dissolved before it was operational. It's a pity that Abe's government tried to say that we still have to operate after the boss left. what do you think? As a result, no one objected (Japan is the third largest economy, and no member country is qualified to object), so these member countries are step by step in line with the agreement. Japan said, let's change its name, which is called "Comprehensive Progress Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement", abbreviated as "CPTPP". I estimate that this "C" is the location of China. Because recently, China intends to join.
Japan's heart is complicated. With China's participation, he will definitely step aside, but without the United States or China, the organization will be a bit thin. Biden "set things right" after taking office, but he is not enthusiastic about whether to join cptpp. Maybe China has too many things, or it is still being evaluated. The latter wants to "start a new stove." Anyway, in the future, the United States will not engage in a loss-making business of setting up a stage for others to sing. So we need to wait and see patiently.
20213 February 19.08
America used to be a fan of CPTPP. At that time, the United States supported CPTPP for three purposes:
1, the United States hopes to win the dominance of the Asia-Pacific market with CPTPP.
2, the United States hopes to use CPTPP to help the United States further strengthen its control over the global industrial chain.
3. The United States hopes to expand its advantages in the Asia-Pacific geostrategy with the help of CPTPP, thus forcing the big eastern countries to yield to American hegemony.
However, it backfired! Soon after, the United States found that it could not conquer the eastern powers through CPTPP, gain the dominant position in the Asia-Pacific market, and enhance its control over the global industrial chain. On the contrary, other members of CPTPP can easily dump their products to the American market by using the CPTPP mechanism. Therefore, Trump, then president of the United States, felt that the United States had lost money in joining CPTPP, and Trump let the United States withdraw from CPTPP.
Today, although the new US President Biden's political views are very different from Trump's, he also attaches great importance to the national interests of the United States like Trump.
Obviously, the return of the United States to CPTPP now will not bring any benefits to the United States, but will only make American friends happy at most. Therefore, the United States is not interested in returning to CPTPP. This is not to say that the United States is unwilling to return to CPTPP, but that the United States is in no hurry to return to CPTPP. The United States hopes to use the anxiety of CPTPP friends to strive for more benefits for the United States!
You know, Trump does not allow others to take advantage of the United States, and Biden does not allow the United States to suffer!
Obama actively tried to join the TPP.
It was Trump who took the initiative to give up after he took office.
Trump is not optimistic about the value of TPP.
In fact, Trump is not optimistic about any multilateral agreement.
Trump intends to unilaterally negotiate bilateral agreements between the United States and major economies.
This way, the United States has an advantage in negotiating with anyone.
Rather than complying with multilateral rules.
This is why he threatened to quit the WTO.
When Trump announced that he would not participate in the TPP,
Take over by Japan
Continue to negotiate 1 1 the comprehensive and progressive Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (CPTPP) with national participation.
It is a new name after the United States withdrew from the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP).
A slight change in the name does not add meaning.
The Japanese government of Shinzo Abe reached this agreement.
It embodies the victory of multilateralism.
This also shows the failure of unilateralism.
This is also one of the reasons why Trump failed in the election.
Biden has just been in office for half a month.
There are too many things to do.
If his government really joins CPTPP,
Prove that he is a multilateralist.
No country wants the United States to give priority.
This unilateralist and hegemonic Trump slogan will hurt all mankind.
Recently, US Secretary of Commerce Ramondo said at the Bloomberg Innovation Economic Forum in Singapore that the United States will not join the Trans-Pacific Partnership Comprehensive Progress Agreement (CPTPP), but will seek to establish a broader and freer economic framework with like-minded partners in the Indo-Pacific region than traditional free trade agreements, so as to promote economic integration with partners in the Indo-Pacific region. At the same time, US Trade Representative Dai Qi said in Tokyo that the new partnership between India and Pacific countries may be launched as early as next year. When CPTPP was reached on 20 18, the organization said that if the United States is willing to rejoin, it can renegotiate the patent terms. In the same year, Trump also expressed his willingness to renegotiate, but the United States finally gave up joining CPTPP. Why?
In 2005, Singapore, Brunei, Chile and New Zealand, four small Pacific Rim countries, initiated free trade agreements. In 2008, Bush announced his participation in the formulation of this agreement, which turned TPP from a small pond into a big pond, and quickly attracted heavyweight players such as Japan, Australia, Canada and Mexico to join, and the membership expanded to 12 countries. In addition to currency unification and market unification, CPTPP has almost become an internal tariff-free organization similar to the EU Customs Union. Restrictions on the import of services among member countries have been lifted, and domestic investment markets have been opened to each other. In addition, investors can directly sue the unfair treatment of sovereign governments, as well as the liberalization of digital products. For developing countries, TPP can gain a larger open market, but it also gives up the opportunity of independent development. For developed countries, through the protection of export services and intellectual property rights, they can maintain their position in the upstream of the industrial chain, leave product research and development and high-end manufacturing at home, and transfer the low-end part of the value chain to developing countries. Only in this way can we achieve global economies of scale and maximize global profits.
Due to free trade, developed countries are facing more serious capital export and industrial hollowing out caused by low-end manufacturing transfer. Whether to join the TPP has caused great controversy in the United States. Some people think that joining TPP can boost the American economy, but it will lead to higher unemployment rate and widening the gap between the rich and the poor. Others believe that the loss of manufacturing jobs can be made up by increasing exports of agriculture and services. More importantly, in geopolitics, the United States can dominate the trade rules in the Pacific Rim region and promote more full market liberalization, labor protection, intellectual property protection and environmental protection in this region. Because of this, TPP has become the core of Obama's return to Asia. At that time, the biggest compromise in the United States was to relax the protection of some patents in exchange for reaching TPP. But TPP was finally killed by the political struggle in the United States, because free trade hurt the working class in the United States. Whoever offends the working class in an election year will lose a lot of votes. When Trump held high the banner of the return of manufacturing, Hillary's defeat was doomed. She is the main executor of TPP negotiations, which is undoubtedly her biggest weakness. Trump announced his withdrawal from TPP negotiations on his first day in office.
At present, most CPTPP countries welcome the return of the United States, because the United States has higher trade standards and a larger consumer market. However, the United States finally chose not to join, and its pressure mainly came from the domestic political situation of the Democratic Party. In addition, Biden's support rate is declining, and the Democratic Party is likely to lose in the mid-term elections next year. At this time, even CPTPP must be cautious. Although many elites have also seen the benefits of joining CPTPP, the Democratic Party is afraid to take this step under the circumstances of highly divided politics and all-out attacks on the Democratic Party within the Party. It can only prevent China from joining CPTPP (the US-Mexico-Canada Free Trade Agreement stipulates that which party must obtain the consent of the other party to sign a trade agreement with a non-market economy country), and at the same time, in the name of competing with China, it has launched an India-Pacific partnership economic cooperation framework to replace CPTPP.
In any battle with the enemy, we must choose brave generals and sharp soldiers as pioneers. One is to strengthen my ambition, and the other is to defeat the enemy. Hundred Years' War, Volume I, Election.