In this courageous war, and in the Nanzhuang campaign in Jiangxi some time ago, the main political goal of the courageous allied forces was to promote talks through war and strive for their own political status. As for this appeal, China also mentioned the political status of the Kokang Allied Forces in his proposal for peace in northern Myanmar to the Burmese army. After this courageous campaign, Min Ryan, commander-in-chief of Myanmar Army, also mentioned in an interview that China had put forward a proposal to interfere in Myanmar's internal affairs on the issue of courageous allies, expressing his dissatisfaction and corroborating China's proposal.
But as far as I know, in the proposal, China only hopes that the Burmese army will face up to the fact that the Kokang Allied Forces exist, and that the peace issue in northern Myanmar needs to be solved in a package, so as not to leave a dead end for the resumption of war. Unfortunately, the Burmese army did not listen and directly rejected the proposal about the courageous allied forces. Subsequently, the courageous war officially broke out.
In China's proposal, only the Burmese army is required to face up to the fact that the Kokang Allied Forces exist and give them the political status they deserve for peace talks. It does not involve supporting the courageous allied forces to counterattack and recover the courageous allied forces. Before the outbreak of the Kokang War, Peng Jiasheng repeatedly mentioned in an interview that he hoped Myanmar would negotiate his political status, but he did not get a response from the Burmese army. Subsequently, after the outbreak of the Kokang War, the situation temporarily got out of control, and the political goal of restoring the Kokang First Special Zone put forward by the Allies became a new political goal.
Second, talk about the political failure strategy in the heroic allied propaganda.
At the beginning of returning to Kokang, the Kokang Allied Forces made it clear that the Kokang people would not fight against the Kokang people, but only against the Burmese army. Unfortunately, an influential allied propagandist on the Internet became arrogant and ignorant to the extreme when he saw the initial offensive of the allied forces. On his blog, he shouted and killed Wei Sanhe, the president of Bai Suocheng University, and other government officials in the autonomous region, acting more far-left and revolutionary than the allied forces.
History has long proved, and reality is proving, that those who shout these nationalist slogans the loudest and fiercest are often traitors in the end.
In his blog, the propagandist pointed the enemy directly at the important officials of the autonomous region government rather than the real enemy Burmese army. It seems that he is waving flags and shouting for the allies, but in fact he is building more political enemies for the allies. After that, the propagandist pointed the finger directly at the government of China and denounced the government of China.
This kind of propaganda with personal interests, using any organizations and events that can be used to vent personal anger, has no regard for the future of the heroic allied forces in the whole situation, which is intolerable to any organization, and here I say for the time being that this is his self-interest and anger, which is already a very light performance.
From the beginning to the end, regardless of the advice of the courageous allies until the warning, they still went their own way, consumed the courageous allies infinitely, made enemies for the courageous allies, and achieved their political goal of shouldering a certain country. Finally, the allies had to make a public statement and cut him politically. The propagandist immediately changed his tune, saying that the brave allies would destroy Bai Suocheng and Wei San before gaining a foothold. He felt sorry for Bai Suocheng and others, and he was used to rabbits. By this time, he had not forgotten to plant and make enemies for the allies.
Looking at the official blog of the Allied Forces, we never wanted Bai Suocheng to kill Bai Suocheng. On the contrary, it was the propagandists themselves who shouted at Bai Suocheng and others. Even that wanted order was issued without authorization by a person in the brave allied forces who had a good relationship with him and had no political mind. The brave allies were made more and more politically passive by this man's propaganda with personal interests, forcing the allies to completely cut off contact.
Under the false propaganda and suggestion of personal bootlegging, many netizens thought that Jia Peng was funded by the United States to fight back against Kokang, and denounced his country for not helping the Kokang people. Then why does the government turn a blind eye to a large number of courageous refugees out of humanitarianism and treat the wounded at home?
Some people say that only one propagandist can confuse this matter, which explains many problems from the side; Some people think it is strange that this person can exist on the Internet for a long time. In fact, the strength of the courageous allied forces is still very weak after all, and it cannot withstand the consumption of such political speculators. Brave allies need help, not consumption.
Third, about the nature of brave allies.
Of course, for the sake of various interests, some people in the online group praised Bai Suocheng, others praised Peng Jiasheng, and some people thought that it was not necessary to borrow Peng Jiasheng's fame to fight back Kokang, or now we can borrow Peng Jiasheng's fame to fight back Kokang and kick Peng Jiasheng away. Various viewpoints have been fully displayed on the internet, and objectively, netizens have accepted the opinions of the Quartet to make their own judgments.
Regarding the relationship between the Kokang Allied Forces and Peng Jiasheng, my view is that without Peng Jiasheng's reputation, there would be no re-establishment of the Kokang Allied Forces, but the Kokang Allied Forces are different from Peng Jiasheng. At present, the Kokang Allied Forces is a revolutionary armed organization with clear political objectives, led by the Myanmar National Justice Party, and fighting for political rights for ethnic minorities, rather than a private armed force of one person.
Fourth, talk about the gains and losses of the campaign tactics of the courageous allied forces.
Because of the sensitivity of this issue, the author has exchanged views on this issue internally, so I won't talk about it in public.
Verb (abbreviation for verb) China's attitude towards bold war
At present, China's attitude has not changed, but it is suggested that all parties sit down and talk. As long as Myanmar is willing, China is willing to be a mediator this time, not just a witness. This is an attitude that has never appeared on the road map for peace in Myanmar.
However, we must note that China's current attitude only ends here, and it still has not said that it supports the allied forces to recover bravely. Courage depends on the political outcome of the negotiations, not the military outcome. A nominally unified Myanmar is in China's interest.
Therefore, on the issue of Kokang and Kachin, China will never accept any political demand for independence from Myanmar by force at present. In this respect, Wa and Site have mastered it quite accurately. Therefore, the Wa state and the site have always stressed that we will not split, but we should have a high degree of autonomy.
Of course, at present, the great Myanmar sentiment in Myanmar mainland has been stirred up, and all kinds of radical political remarks against China have emerged one after another. If the Myanmar government and military do not consider the overall situation of peace and stability between the two countries, but just vent their dissatisfaction and ask China for improper returns indefinitely, has China made any fine adjustments, adjustments and sharp changes in its direction? It remains to be seen. Here, the author reminds netizens to study the history of Myanmar in 1967 and 1969.
6. Why was the Burmese military so tough in the courageous war?
Netizens who are familiar with all the major events in northern Myanmar in recent years should know that the current top leaders of the Burmese army, including the commander-in-chief of the three armed forces, all climbed to the top with the help of the "88 Courageous Incident" in 2009. Therefore, whether it is China's suggestion or the courageous allied forces fighting back through armed struggle, it is tantamount to asking these high-level vested interests of the Burmese army to spit out some fruits of victory that have already been swallowed up. Therefore, regardless of political considerations or their private interests, they will never give in easily.
Judging from the political situation in Myanmar, the government of Thein Sein seized the call of a large number of political parties and people in western countries and Myanmar for a referendum on constitutional amendment, and promised to hold a referendum on constitutional amendment in May. In this situation, in addition to the possibility of amending the presidential qualification clause, it is also possible to hold a referendum on amending the provision that the army automatically occupies 25% of the seats in parliament without any election.
Under the pressure of the huge constitutional referendum at home and abroad, if the military resolutely opposes the constitutional referendum, the voice will be extremely harsh. At this time, the outbreak of the courageous war undoubtedly provided great political opportunities for the Burmese army. For this reason, Commander-in-Chief Min Ryan even made a high-profile statement that the fight against the Kokang Allied Forces was an anti-aggression war, which was intended to make the Burmese people think that it was impossible to modify 25% of the military seats by mobilizing the great Burmese sentiment at home, and the 90-day military control in the Kokang area just covered the planned constitutional referendum in May.
Therefore, before the end of the constitutional referendum, no matter how much the Burmese army has suffered on the courageous battlefield, it will not lightly withdraw its troops and hold peace talks. On the contrary, the heavy casualties of the Burmese army during this period can stimulate the great Burmese sentiment of the people in mainland Myanmar, so as not to hold a referendum on amending the 25% seats of the military in the parliament. After achieving this political goal, it is possible to change the political attitude towards the brave allies.
7. How do the Burmese army and the Burmese government recognize the political status of the Kokang Allied Forces?
Someone asked how to get the Burmese army to recognize the political status of the allies. The answer is that there is only one choice at present, and that is to continue fighting. After the referendum on constitutional amendment in Myanmar, the attitude will change until the Burmese army feels that it has suffered heavy losses and its political chips are also being lost.
At the same time, political parties, politicians, analysts and some military personnel in Myanmar also realize that if they do not accept China's proposal on the issue of courage, I am afraid they will repeat the mistakes of 69 years. In the end, they will lose all their pants and have to talk about it. Therefore, they are actively proposing and appealing, hoping that the government and military leaders will not refuse to accept China's proposal because of their personal political interests.
At the same time, people of insight in Myanmar also hinted that they accepted the Chinese proposal, and the vested interests in the "88 Courageous Incident" politically believed that China would not let them lose in the future. But the Burmese army will not automatically spit out what it has swallowed.
Therefore, there will be many fierce battles in the later period of the courageous war, especially before the Chinese attitude comes out again after the Spring Festival holiday, and both sides will have several fierce battles to win political chips in the negotiations. We will also see that from now on, the Burmese army vowed to completely and cleanly destroy the allies, and later it showed that the main force destroyed the allies, and then the main force defeated the allies, and then the country was peaceful. The Burmese army is willing to accept China's mediation with a high attitude. In the future, netizens can carefully observe the subtle changes in the wording of the Burmese army's comments on the courageous war.