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Without Zeng Guofan's Xiang army, could the Taiping Army overthrow the Qing Dynasty?
I can definitely answer that even without Zeng Guofan's Xiang army, the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom movement would still fail. The turning point of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom movement from prosperity to decline? Tianjing incident? Did it happen because of the existence of Xiang army? Obviously not.

The Tianjing incident was caused by the internal power struggle of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom and the increasingly corrupt life of the ruling class. Therefore, the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom Movement is doomed to failure. I think the reasons for its failure are as follows.

First, the limitations of the peasant class. Since ancient times, peasant uprisings have their limitations, that is, the peasant class is conservative and greedy for immediate interests without long-term strategic vision. This limitation may not expose too many problems at the beginning of the uprising, but once the uprising reaches a certain scale and reaches a peak, if it cannot be changed in time, then this limitation will lay a hidden danger for failure. Just like the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom Movement, proposed by Hong Xiuquan? There are fields to plow together, meals to eat together, clothes to wear together, uneven everywhere, no one does not keep warm? Slogans do attract a large number of people at the bottom, but how can this over-idealized slogan be realized?

The replacement of the feudal dynasty is the re-division of classes, which means the re-division of the ruling class and the ruled class. The ruling class of the feudal dynasty was the landlord and the ruled class was the peasant. This slogan put forward by Hong Xiuquan is undoubtedly to tell everyone that there will be no distinction between landlords and peasants in the future. This reminds me of the Li Zicheng Uprising in the late Ming Dynasty. The slogan of Hong Xiuquan was put forward by Li Zicheng at that time? Meet the king, don't accept food? Have the same effect. Similarly, after the establishment of the dynasty, they did not know how to change their ideas in time and make long-term plans, but only knew how to pursue pleasure blindly. Hong Xiuquan established the Yong 'an organizational system. After he entered Nanjing, he would retreat if he did not advance. This is the biggest ideological limitation of the peasant class.

Second, the corrupt life of the privileged class. This is purely Hong Xiuquan's own face. When did it come up? Is there a field where we can plow together? If he really has such advanced thinking, then the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom can defeat the Qing Dynasty, but Hong Xiuquan is a small peasant thinking, and even a scholar can't have advanced thinking.

After Tianjing proclaimed himself emperor after the founding of the People's Republic of China, he promulgated the Taiping Ritual System, which stipulated the ranks and privileges of each king. In that year, the privilege of his own king was particularly prominent. In order to show his position, he made great efforts to build the Heavenly Palace, accepted concubines, and even stipulated that all kings were not allowed to enter and leave the Heavenly Palace at will, and treated each other as equals and engaged in privileges. This behavior seriously damaged the image of Hong Xiuquan and Taiping Army in the hearts of the people, which was a blow. From then on, Hong Xiuquan and his feudal lords began to enjoy a luxurious and corrupt life, missed the great opportunity of the Northern Expedition and overthrowing the Qing court, and gave the Qing government a breathing space.

Third, the power struggle within the Taiping Army caused serious internal friction. Since ancient times? Money? And then what? Right? This is the most uncontrollable thing. When these kings of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom got rich, they began to seize power. Claiming to be Dongwangyang? Father? , began to compete with Hong Xiuquan for power. In the end, more than 20,000 people under Yang and his family were killed, more than 200 people under Wei Changhui and his confidant were executed, and more than 100,000 people under Shi Dakai were forced to leave. Since then, the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom has declined.

Fourth, being attacked by foreign troops. Because the leaders of Taiping Heavenly Kingdom, headed by Hong Xiuquan, resolutely refused the olive branch extended by western powers in the early days, the western powers turned to support the Qing government again in the later period, and the Taiping Army was attacked by the Qing government and western countries' troops inside and outside.

It can be seen that although the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom movement is huge, it is still unable to get out of the historical limitations, change its thinking and adjust its strategy in time, and it is doomed to failure.