ESPN Scouting Report for the Heat: James is almost perfect and DW still has to fight against the sky

2013-09-20 12:55:56 Source: Sina Sports Author:

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Original title: ESPN Scouting Report on the Heat: James is almost perfect and DW still has to fight against Heaven

Sina Sports News On September 21, Beijing time, ESPN updated the Miami Heat’s new Season prediction data and scouting report, the following is the complete translation of the full text:

Mario Chalmers

Projected data: 9.0 points, 2.3 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game

Mario Chalmers

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●A very confident combo guard who can organize offense and hit long-range shots.

●It is difficult to break through. Either make a great pass or make a mistake.

●Can use very aggressive fighting to disrupt passing lanes. Not very fast, but he knows how to use his body.

Chalmers is truly a mediocre player. On one possession, he showed a highlight that made you doubt he was a great point guard. The next possession, he'll be dribbling the ball to his feet again and complaining. In short, I am wandering between taking one step forward and one step back.

But as long as he can maintain last season's 40% three-point shooting percentage, the Heat would rather pay for these headaches. Chalmers has improved his long-range shooting from the same position in the middle to the current level, especially deadly in the right corner (55.6).

At the beginning of the season, Chalmers briefly transformed into "Magic Johnson" and used wonderful passes to guide his teammates. However, he soon returned to normal and returned to the shooting-first point guard. guard. Overall, he has reduced his turnover rate and his assist rate has increased slightly, which is a good sign of development.

Defensively, Chalmers is still a disruptor, but he is not good at putting pressure on the ball due to his mediocre speed. His individual defense data is in the bottom 20 in the league, but as long as he can continue to use steals to provide fast break opportunities for Janeway, the Heat will be satisfied.

Dwyane Wade

Estimated statistics: 20.0 points, 4.8 rebounds and 4.6 assists per game

●Strong cutting guard with outstanding performance His shot-blocking ability, vision and finishing skills.

●The shooting fakes are realistic. It's hard to guard against during a fast break. Excellent rebounding. No three-point range.

●Tough enough to become the cornerstone of the basket and block the opponent's rebounds. He has a good sense for stealing the ball, but he is lazy in defending fast breaks.

Pop quiz: Last season, there were two players who averaged 20 points, 5 rebounds, and 5 assists per game, with a shooting percentage of 50. Who were they?

One of them is naturally James, and you can probably guess the other one.

Wade is another data guru, who has been extremely overlooked due to his teammate wearing the No. 6 jersey. His official height is 1.93 meters, but he plays like a taller player due to his combination of wingspan, strength and jumping. These qualities, combined with an incredible talent for breaking the ball, result in one of the league's most difficult players to defend.

The only problem he needs to worry about is that he has a chronic knee injury.

Wade battled various knee injuries in the playoffs in order to win the championship. This has become an almost annual tradition, and the 2012-13 season is no exception. Bone spurs caused Wade to have fluid drained out, which made it difficult to break through the defense in the restricted area. To make matters worse, his mid-range jump shot is no longer good. His shooting percentage from 16 to 23 feet in the playoffs was only 32.9, while in the regular season it was as high as 42.0. Since there were no three-pointers in the first place, Wade's offense became extremely weak.

In order to allow the body to recover as quickly as possible, Wade once again cooperated with the famous trainer Glover and used impact therapy to relieve knee pain. If Wade's knees are not close to 100 percent, the Heat's offense will be affected again, and coach Spoelstra will have to give shooters like Allen and Battier more playing time.

But even if Wade's knees are not good, he can still contribute in other aspects. He had 4.8 assists, 4.7 rebounds, 1.7 steals and 1.1 blocks per 36 minutes in the playoffs, which are still top statistics at the same position. But his return speed began to decline, and he often chatted with referees about foul problems.

It is definitely too early to think that knee injuries will ruin Wade's career, but his wise approach should be to learn from James and use reliable long-range shots as insurance for declining athletic ability.

LeBron James

Estimated data: 25.7 points, 8.0 rebounds and 6.8 assists per game

●An all-around athletic prodigy with top-level shooting, Passing and dribbling ability. Location cannot be defined.

●Intelligent players can find passing spaces that others cannot find. The three-point jump shot is deadly.

●Free throws are average. Can guard almost anyone. Excellent rebounding. Never get hurt.

Now James is already a near-perfect basketball player.

His efficiency value of 31.7 last season was the best among all players, only slightly lower than his career best. His field goal percentage is a ridiculous 56.5. He leads the league in penalty area points. He has more assists than most point guards. His rebounding rate is higher than Marc Gasol and Robin Lopez. Defensively, he has the height, speed, and strength to defend everyone in the league, and he almost does.

If that's not enough, consider this: He now has the league's most dangerous jump shot. Only Calderon has more spot-up points than James.

Last season, James' name suddenly appeared at the top of all jump shot lists. This includes unguarded catch-and-shoot situations, and if one extra point is added to the weighted three-point shot, his field goal percentage is as high as 73.1. Only five players are more accurate than him when it comes to open shots. Although he didn't find his target until the end of the Finals, his three-point shooting percentage in the playoffs was still 37.5, which was much higher than the league average (Durant's 31.3 in the playoffs).

So, what is there that he hasn’t mastered yet?

Free throws. James was always breaking the rules in other aspects last season, but his free throw percentage was still the lowest since the 2007-08 season. Although it was raised to 77.7 in the playoffs, he should still do better, and he himself believes that this is the focus of improvement in the offseason. We believe he can do it.

Coach Spoelstra said there was a reason for James to move from No. 1 to No. 5. He defended from Split to Parker last season, from Al Jefferson to Nate Robinson to Durant. This versatility is impossible to quantify. The Heat lost 4.4 points per 100 possessions with him on the court, and their efficiency against small forwards was only 12.7.

After adding a precise jump shot to his arsenal, he is only one step away from his ideal basketball goal of reliable free throws.

Udonis Haslem

Estimated statistics: 4.0 points, 5.3 rebounds and 0.5 assists per game

●Strong jump-shooting center, athletic Average ability, forward build. Close corner specialist.

●The shooting posture is ugly and unstable. No fouls will be drawn.

●Smart defense. Tenacious rebounder and knows how to steal the ball. Fearless fighter.

Haslem is enjoying a resurgent season after getting rid of a foot injury that plagued him the previous year. But he changed his style of play, reducing the number of contested shots at the basket and limiting his offense in the penalty area to layups after pick-and-rolls. As a result, he had only 6.2 shots blocked last season, down from 10.6 the year before. In short, Haslem has found a suitable position at this stage of his career.

The swinging jumper is spotty. When on form, he looks useful. When he's out of form, he seems completely scrapped. But this guy is doing everything he can to stay in the starting rotation and take up a lot of playing time. Last season his shooting percentage from 16 to 23 feet was 41, which was higher than the 35.0 the year before. Like Norris Cole, his jump shot has steadily improved as the season has gone on.

Haslem's personal rebounding data is very good, but the Heat rebounded better without him on the court (49.3 vs. 48.5). This difference became even more obvious in the playoffs, when Haslem sometimes took away rebounds that should belong to teammates.

His defense is a double-edged sword. Haslem has never been afraid of physical confrontation and is still one of the best offensive foul makers in the league. His height disadvantage is still obvious, and his opponent's efficiency value of 21.1 shows how disadvantaged he is in terms of size.

His foul rate soared last season, but as a highly intelligent defender, he is still the player who best understands Spoelstra's system.

Chris Bosh

Estimated statistics: 15.8 points, 7.1 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game

●Comprehensive left-handed long man, jump shot and breakthrough touch soft.

●The mid-range sniper has improved his three-point shooting. Excellent finishing ability. Bad rebounding.

●Smart defensively, but lacks the size to defend against larger centers. Crafty shot blocker who doesn't foul.

From the perspective of talent and nurture, the latter aspect of Bosh is simply the pinnacle. You will be surprised that he has changed from a single-function penalty area player for the Raptors to a shooter for the Heat on both offense and defense. For Bosh, winning is the ultimate catalyst for change.

In the 2009-10 season, the Raptors' last year, Bosh's 35% offense came from the low post, and his spot-up jump shot was 9.9. What about the Heat last season? The low post is 14.1, and the spot jumper is 32. Although this is a gradual change, it also reflects the flexibility of Bosh's game.

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Besides, there is a good reason for this. Bosh's outside shooting provides room for James to break through, while also establishing himself as the league's most fearsome mid-range shooter. Yes, even better than Nowitzki.

Bosh has made it clear that he hopes to play more inside in the new season, which will also help improve his vertical rebound rate, which is 12.6, a career low. But some of those declines can be attributed to Haslem, who competes for every rebound; Bosh's rebounding rate was close to that of the Raptors when Haslem was off the court last season.

Defensively, Bosh's block rate nearly doubled last season, but his size is not enough to stop a beast like Hibbert, and the Heat's defense is no better when he is on the court. Of course, he knows how to defend and works hard. These are improvements compared to the Raptors.

Ray Allen

Estimated statistics: 9.5 points, 2.3 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game

●Probably the best shooter in history. The shooting posture is unique and the shots from the bottom corner are deadly.

●The ability to hold the ball has declined. Weak ankles compromise athletic ability. Body maintenance is world class.

●Poor defense, easy to foul easily. Accurate free throws. Nice rebound.

Allen deserves to hit the key ball in the corner in Game 6 of the Finals. This should have been the top priority in defending Allen. Last season, the 38-year-old veteran's corner three-point shooting percentage was as high as 45.0. Although it was slightly lower than in previous seasons, it was still one of the best in the league.

Allen is still well maintained. As a shooter on the bench, he has proven that he can perfectly complement James. Look at this: In the 2013 playoffs, the Heat scored 116.4 points per 100 possessions with James and Allen on the floor, compared to 102.2 points without James.

Allen's lateral explosiveness has disappeared, so he forced too many shots on the break, as if to prove that he can return to the peak of Seattle. As a result, Allen's turnover rate in pick-and-roll breakthroughs is as high as 28.3, one of the highest in the league.

As you might suspect, he has zero value on the defensive end. Even if the shooting guard he's facing has an efficiency rating of only 12.2, the Heat have to find ways to hide him. In addition to the occasional excessive breakthrough, Allen gave the Heat another three-point shooter, and more importantly, the ability to deal with Wade's injury. Everyone remembers the jump shot in Game 6 of the Finals, but Allen saved the Heat from start to finish. Hopefully he can do more in the new season, assuming there is still enough fuel to last a season.

Chris Anderson

Estimated statistics: 4.2 points, 4.0 rebounds and 0.4 assists per game

●An energetic spring-shaped man who can play in the basket. Complete anything. Excellent weak side shot blocking.

●The shooting range is within 4 feet, but he can jump higher than most big men. Rebounding is great.

●It is difficult to defend strong big men. Frequent fouls. Being able to become a professional wrestler.

While out for 15 months, Anderson stayed in shape through running training in the Rockies. His hard work paid off. Anderson returned to the court in January and slotted seamlessly into the Heat's rotation, providing the team with something the roster didn't have: a big man with great leaps who can always grab rebounds at the rim and put them back to score.

Anderson's efficiency is simply amazing. His regular season shooting percentage was 57.7, including 99 of 123 shots at the basket. In the playoffs, his field goal percentage was as high as 80.7, including 47 of 57 at the basket. Don't look at these points coming from the basket. If it were that simple, someone else could do it.

Defensively, the numbers show Anderson is a beast. Only eight players are worth more than him, which is pretty staggering considering he didn't play the first two months of the season. He's still too prone to foul trouble (5.1 per 36 minutes), but the Heat don't need him to play 30 minutes a night. His thin frame makes him vulnerable one-on-one against stronger big men, but he's still a very positive addition on that end.

Like many other Heat players, Anderson is not young at 35 years old. It is worth watching whether injuries will trouble him again. But being able to exchange a veteran's minimum salary for such efficiency and rim defense makes Riley's signing look like robbery anyway.

Sean Battier

Estimated data: 5.7 points, 2.7 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game

●High golf quotient. Deadly corner shooter with mediocre athleticism. A true role player.

●The release point of fixed-point shooting is low. Bottom line breakthrough is efficient. Smart pass high up the pitch. Rarely make mistakes.

●Can hit people and will be beaten by stronger power forwards. Terrible rebounding, but can block positions with energy.

Batier was one of the purest shooters in the league last season. That came in handy in the playoffs. As a corner shooter, Battier's true shooting percentage ranks third among wing players, second only to Korver and Durant. In fact, this stat-free player leads the league in corner three-point shooting percentage at 46.1. He even made 14 more corner three-pointers than the entire Pelicans team.

Batier was inaccurate in the playoffs. Although he broke out in the last two games of the Finals, his three-point shooting percentage in the entire playoffs was only 22.4, and his shooting percentage in sports games was 22.2. I don’t know if this is related to constant confrontation with power forwards and excessive wear and tear. In short, the Heat must take better care of Battier's body. At the age of 35, he has reached the age of decline.

Batier's rebounds continue to shrink, with 3.3 per 36 minutes, which is almost half of the previous number. Regardless of how much athleticism he has left, as long as he doesn't turn the ball over, continues to knock down shots and defend smart, the Heat will be happy to accept his contributions on and off the court.

Norris Cole

Estimated statistics: 7.3 points, 1.8 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game

●A short point guard who can always cause trouble. Jump shot improved. Hard to score in the penalty area.

●Not an organizer. The breakthrough is very blind, and the shot is always forced.

●Great for putting pressure on the ball, but lacks court awareness. Frequent fouls.

Did Kerr steal Battier's shooting ability in the playoffs? This seems to be the only explanation for his explosive shooting from long range. After a poor shooting percentage of 27.6 in his rookie season, Cole's three-point accuracy in the regular season last season was 35.7, which improved to 53.1 in the playoffs.

Improving three-pointers is a good thing for him, because It was his only weapon to keep himself in the lineup. After a terrible start to the season, Kerr was one of the league's worst players. Even if his accuracy improves in the second half of the season, his 7.92 efficiency rating is still fifth from the bottom in the league (at least 1,000 minutes played).

Kerr’s biggest improvement is that he finally knows not to compete with the Big Three. In fact, with his technical level, he shouldn't compete with anyone. His ball-handling ratio dropped from 21.8 in his rookie season to a more acceptable 17.0 last season. He doesn't have the ability to be a scoring weapon off the bench, which was exactly the motivation behind the Heat drafting him two years ago.

Cole transformed into a defensive specialist at the end of the season, and this is a role that suits him very well. His defensive numbers are great, but he gives up more points with him on the floor. He can put crazy pressure on the ball, but he lacks golf intelligence and is prone to excessive aggression, resulting in too many fouls.

Joel Anthony

Estimated statistics: 1.1 points, 1.5 rebounds and 0.1 assists per game

●Short mobile center with no offensive skills. The hands are stiff.

●Poor catching. Improved at the rim but still struggled to score. Bad rebounding.

●The defensive coverage is amazing. The shot blocking is great. Know your role.

Yes, this is still the starting center in the 2011 Finals. As a victim of Spoelstra's position transformation, Anthony fell out of the rotation last season and became the water cooler keeper behind Anderson, Bosh and Haslem.

Anthony is no different than before: desperate defensively, lacking value in other aspects. On the offensive end, 21.5 of his possessions ended in turnovers (seemingly low), accounting for only 8.6 of the team's offensive possessions. Passers must tip the ball to him, and he doesn't have any jump shot ability. His wide frame can come in handy on screens, but he is often called for screen violations, and poor offense allows the opponent's big man to easily double-team the ball handler.

But Anthony is a master on the defensive end. There are few players who can help defend faster than him, and the top pick-and-roll defense data is enough to illustrate this (top 10 level in the league). He's also a good shot-blocker, but even the Heat's superstars can't fully fill his offensive deficiencies. He is now a fringe figure for the Heat, especially if Oden can play.

Michael Beasley

Projected statistics: None

●A tall, long-armed left-handed wing who likes to ignore his teammates for jump shots. The two forward positions are better at power forward.

●A waste of offensive talent. Handles the ball well but never passes the ball. Fallible.

●There are constant problems on and off the field. The defense was lax. Out of shape.

If there is one team that can save Beasley, it might be the Heat. The Heat drafted Beasley that year, but rushed to send him away in 2010. Now the way the prodigal son returns home is a training camp invitation without a guaranteed contract. Even the Heat have no confidence in letting him return to form.

But this is at least a risk-free attempt. The player the Heat have is definitely not the No. 2 pick who once dominated college basketball. Beasley's efficiency was at its peak during his rookie season and then plummeted. Last season was the epitome of inefficiency in the Suns. There are only 436 players in NBA history who have played more than 1,000 minutes, and their ball holding ratio is no less than Beasley's (27.6), but no one has a lower true shooting percentage than him (46.2). In other words, he is the ultimate black hole on the court.

But when he's not busy chasing bad jump shots, he's also a complete failure on the defensive end. His first successful switch might be the next one. As a player with length and athleticism and excellent use of his hands, he should have been great defensively, but he never cared about the job. The Suns were already bad last season, but they allowed 6.6 more points per 100 possessions with Beasley on the court. As expected, the team paid 7 million to let him go.

Beasley has the potential to serve as a floor-spacing power forward and provide corner firepower off the bench, but so does Lewis and Battier. It's hard to see him being suited for anything else. Although talented, Beasley ruined his career by becoming obsessed with one-on-one play in team sports. This is definitely not popular with the Heat.

Greg Oden

Projected statistics: None

●Injury-plagued talented man with unlimited potential, who has had off-court problems.

●A beastly rebounder and defender in the paint. Too many fouls. Need to regain form.

●I haven’t played in the NBA for nearly 4 years.

Who knows?

After not playing in the NBA for so long and undergoing multiple knee surgeries, no one knows how Oden will play in the new season, or whether he will play.

The last time he played in the NBA was in the 2009-10 season, and he was a true beast. At the age of 21, Oden has 16.7 points and 12.8 rebounds per 36 minutes in 21 games. But he was called for 6 fouls every 36 minutes, which is definitely unacceptable for a player who needs playing time.

The Heat can use him to deal with Hibbert and Gasol, but it is said that Oden has lost some weight in order to reduce the load on his knees, which may also affect his efficiency in the penalty area.

The potential insider the Heat can recover this time may be another Anderson or another Eddie Curry.

James Jones

Estimated data: 1.9 points, 0.7 rebounds and 0.3 assists per game

●A stand-up shooter with long arms and a thin body. High point, always hunkered down in the bottom corner, no ability to control the ball.

●I only go inside the three-point line once a month. Unable to attack independently. Bad pass.

●Good defense, but not strong enough. The rebounding was poor.

The biggest suspense of the Heat's season is when Jones will hit a layup in the game.

On April 15, the much-anticipated moment finally came: his first successful layup in more than two years.

Thank God, he still hit. This became his first and only goal within 10 feet in two seasons. If you can see him dribbling, that means you're lucky, or there's something terribly wrong with the Heat's offense, which is more likely.

Jones is a shooting specialist from the inside out. More than 9 of his 10 shots came from beyond the three-point line, one of the highest proportions in the league. He never intended to risk entering the penalty area, nor did he have the ability. He always goes to the corner, waits for the ball there, and then completes the shot according to the program.

The biggest beneficiary of Miller's departure is that the Heat's team doctors no longer have to work 24/7. Next is Jones, who played fewer games last season than in January 2011, but it is possible that Miller's playing time will be given to Battier.

Well, it would certainly be disturbing if a shooting specialist only shot 30.2 from three-point range, but that's mostly because all of his shots came from garbage-time Kerr pointers. Last season, Jones and James were on the court together for only 8 minutes total. The Heat will miss Miller's game, but they still have enough shooters.

Rashard Lewis

Estimated statistics: 1.5 points, 0.7 rebounds and 0.2 assists per game

●A shooting big man with tall height and long arms. Weird posture, limited athletic ability, and inactive style of play.

●It is difficult to attack independently. Can't pass the ball or make free throws.

●Can't even defend chairs on the outside, but he can fight against big men. Average rebounder for same height.

Lewis’ recovery was not as expected. There were voices that he could serve as a full-time starter for the Heat, but his knees were still bad and he completely fell out of the rotation at the end of the season.

Believe it or not, ugly shooting still plays a role. His three-point shooting percentage is as high as 38.9, and the left side is even more deadly, reaching 50.8. But the problem is that he relies entirely on his teammates to create shooting opportunities, and his mobility is not enough to provide other value. He makes Shane look like an antelope.

The Heat hope his low post can provide scoring momentum, but Lewis is too slow to handle shorter opponents. He shot only 42.9 from the low post last season and was always called for offensive fouls. In short, he did not adapt to the new situation.

Due to knee problems, he is a liability on the defensive end and cannot keep up with faster big men. His rebounding is not enough for his height of 2.08 meters, but this has never been his strength. If the Heat can somewhat repair his knee, the situation can still be solved by experts. But Lewis is 34 years old after all, and his hope is slim.

Jarvis Varnado

Projected statistics: None

●Short shot-blocking specialist, commits too many fouls and has no low-post footwork.

●The rebound is good. Requires increased weight and technique.

Think Joel Anthony, but a worse version, Varnado.

That's certainly not a compliment, and it wouldn't be surprising if the Heat use both him and Anthony as trade chips. He is a poor man's version of Anthony.

Varnado only averaged 14.5 points per game in the NBDL, and there were not many big men of sufficient caliber in that league. Another bad sign: He committed 5.2 fouls per 36 minutes. Like Anthony, Varnado is a shot-blocking expert, averaging 3.3 blocks per game. But unless he can reduce fouls and learn to defend pick-and-rolls, it will be difficult for him to enter the NBA rotation.