Your question is a good one. First of all, let me tell you that the second answer is absolutely correct.

Further down, the probability of getting one out of ten in 10,000 draws is (1/10000)^10*C10000(10), which is an absolutely small probability event, but this small probability is for These are the 10,000 draws. In other words, if there were 10,000,000,000 places holding the same lottery, then it could happen.

The third statement is obviously wrong. It can only be said that if you do enough draws in the future, such as 1 billion draws, then the probability of drawing 1 in the next 1 billion times will be balanced with the previous probability.

The theoretical probability is obtained through calculation, but it does not mean that in practice every experiment will be the same as the theoretical probability. You may even do 1,000 experiments, but the probability is different from the theory.

Think about it again, if there are 10,000 different people in front of you to draw a lottery, and you go up to draw again, does the probability of you drawing 1 have anything to do with how many times the person in front has drawn 1?

I hope you can understand.

PS: C10000(10) refers to any ten taken from 10000