In the early morning of December 10, 2021, with the end of the match between Villarreal and Atalanta, this season’s Champions League group stage came to an end, and all 16 teams entered the knockout rounds. The draw for the UEFA Champions League knockout rounds will be held next Monday. The 16-to-8 matches follow the avoidance principle of the same association and the same group. The probability of each team in the knockout stage can be calculated through calculation.
Manchester City, the first team in Group A, will avoid Paris and Chelsea in the knockout stage. They have the same probability of drawing Atletico Madrid, Villarreal and Inter Milan, both reaching 18.532%.
Liverpool, the top team in Group B, avoids Atletico Madrid and Chelsea. They have the highest probability of drawing Inter Milan and Villarreal, reaching 18.574%.
Ajax, the top player in Group C, has the highest probability of drawing Chelsea, reaching 21.376%, and they have the lowest probability of drawing Benfica, only 11.357%.
In Group D, Real Madrid has to avoid Atletico Madrid, Huang Qian and Inter Milan. Their probability of drawing Chelsea is as high as 32.315%, which is the highest probability in all draws. In addition, the probability of Real Madrid drawing Paris is as high as 19.389%, and Messi is expected to challenge Real Madrid again.
Bayern has the highest probability of drawing Chelsea in Group E, reaching 21.376%, and they still have a 13.575% chance of facing Paris.
The probability that Manchester United, the top spot in Group F, will face Atletico Madrid and Inter Milan is both 18.574%. Ronaldo may face Atletico Madrid again in the Champions League.
Lille, the top team in Group G, has a 24.932% chance of drawing Chelsea, and their probability of drawing Inter Milan, Huang Qian and Atletico Madrid is all 16.252%.
The most likely opponents of Juventus in Group H are Atletico Madrid and Huang Qian, with a probability of 18.532%. In addition, the probability of Juventus drawing Paris Saint-Germain is also 17.821%.
Among all 16 teams, Chelsea avoided the most. Their opponents in the 1/8 finals were one of four, namely Bayern, Real Madrid, Ajax and Lille, among which they drew The probability of going to Bayern or Real Madrid is over 53%.
Can Messi and Ronaldo meet in the 1/8 finals? Manchester City and Paris have a 17.821% probability of meeting in the 16th round.
In Group D, Real Madrid has to avoid Atletico Madrid, Huang Qian and Inter Milan. Their probability of drawing Chelsea is as high as 32.315%, which is the highest probability in all draws. In addition, the probability of Real Madrid drawing Paris is as high as 19.389%, and Messi is expected to challenge Real Madrid again.
Bayern has the highest probability of drawing Chelsea in Group E, reaching 21.376%, and they still have a 13.575% chance of facing Paris.
The probability that Manchester United, the top spot in Group F, will face Atletico Madrid and Inter Milan is both 18.574%. Ronaldo may face Atletico Madrid again in the Champions League.
Lille, the top team in Group G, has a 24.932% chance of drawing Chelsea, and their probability of drawing Inter Milan, Huang Qian and Atletico Madrid is all 16.252%.
The most likely opponents of Juventus in Group H are Atletico Madrid and Huang Qian, with a probability of 18.532%. In addition, the probability of Juventus drawing Paris Saint-Germain is also 17.821%.
Among all 16 teams, Chelsea avoided the most. Their opponents in the 1/8 finals were one of four, namely Bayern, Real Madrid, Ajax and Lille, among which they drew The probability of going to Bayern or Real Madrid is over 53%.
Can Messi and Ronaldo meet in the 1/8 finals? Manchester City and Paris have a 17.821% probability of meeting in the 16th round.