On June 1 1 day, 2007, the front page of French newspaper le figaro announced that the People's Movement League led by current President Nicolas Sarkozy won "unprecedented success since the Fifth Republic" in the French National Assembly election held on June1day.
The election results released by the French Ministry of the Interior 12 hours after the voting show that the People's Movement League has opened a big gap with its main rival, the Socialist Party. Among the 577 constituencies in France, UMP won 39.4% of the support rate, and at least 53 candidates from Sarkozy camp won the first round of elections with an absolute majority. The support rate of socialists is only 24.7%.
According to the estimation of three electoral institutions in France, UMP and its party coalition will win 383 of the 577 seats in the second round of the National Assembly election on June 17, thus occupying a majority.
According to relevant French laws, the National Assembly 1 member is directly elected by voters in each constituency for a term of five years. Candidates can be elected if they get more than half of the votes in the first round of elections, otherwise they will enter the second round of voting. If his camp can win the majority of seats in parliament as expected, Sarkozy can smoothly push forward his reform plan and change the current situation of high unemployment and slow economic growth in France.
After three consecutive presidential elections last month, the socialists pinned their hopes of saving the political situation on this national assembly election. However, waiting for the Socialist Party is likely to be another failure, and this failure lies not only in the fact that it is difficult for the Socialist Party to obtain a parliamentary majority, but also in the slim chance of "maintaining peace".
In the Parliament in 2002, the Socialist Party still held 65,438+049 seats. After the results of the first round of elections were announced, the Socialist Party had to lower its previous expectations and only hoped to get a turnout rate of 28%. Even if the seats of the center-left Alliance Party and the * * * Production Party are added, it is estimated that the seats won by the left can only be 120 to 66.
In fact, both the failure of the Socialist Party and the victory of the People's Movement League were expected. The turnout rate of this round of parliamentary elections is the lowest in France in 40 years, only 62%. The analysis believes that this is related to the "election fatigue" caused by the presidential elections for several months in a row. The deeper reason is that most French people have long believed that the center-right People's Movement League led by Sarkozy is destined to win the parliamentary elections.
In the eyes of most French people, since Sarkozy was given the power to steer the French economy and reform in the presidential election, he should not set obstacles for him in the National Assembly election. Therefore, in this round of parliamentary elections, the focus of French people's attention is not whether the People's Movement League led by Sarkozy can win, but how the Socialist Party can not lose too badly.
Although the Socialist Party publicly declared after this round of parliamentary elections that French society is being "suppressed by an overwhelming majority, ruled by the ruling party and absolutely dominated by absolute power", Royal also shouted the slogan "Democracy needs you" and warned that if France loses its checks and balances, it will lead to a crisis, but the voice of the socialists seems to be very weak. Alain Juppe, who has just been appointed as environment minister by Sarkozy, calmly responded to the attack of the socialists. "Even if we elect a parliament with a majority of seats in the People's Movement League, it will not prevent us from listening to voices from all sides."
The previous government of the People's Movement League was widely criticized by the French people, but Sarkozy, as the leader of the party, got rid of the shadow left by the previous government with his good performance after winning.
First of all, Sarkozy unexpectedly transcended the boundaries of party and gender. The new cabinet he appointed won the support of more than half of the French people. The negative impression of Sarkozy's "stubbornness" and "ideology" in the eyes of the French people has been greatly reversed. The French people believe that Sarkozy will focus on drastic reforms as promised.
Sarkozy's unusually busy schedule after taking office has also shaped an energetic and energetic personal image. On the day of his official inauguration, Sarkozy quickly visited Germany to find a way out for the troubled EU Constitution. During the G8 summit in Heiligendamm, Germany, Sarkozy and British Prime Minister Tony Blair reached an agreement on the framework for formulating a new EU constitution. Therefore, it can be said that the People's Movement League won the parliamentary election "easily" temporarily, which benefited from some extra points in the diplomatic field after Sarkozy's victory in the general election.
In terms of internal affairs, a series of reform plans of Sarkozy's cabinet team are also in full swing. The new Prime Minister Fillon immediately announced his reform agenda in summer and autumn on the day of the first round of parliamentary elections, including: university reform, reducing strikes in the transportation sector, taking new measures to combat crime, implementing the process of labor market liberalization and reducing huge national debt.