First of all, the Lakers
The Lakers triumphed all the way last season and reached the finals without Bynum. The magic weapon they rely on to win is attack. Of course, in the end they fell under the defense! The Lakers with Kobe Bryant, Gasol, Bynum and Odom, when they really play well, that kind of lethality is extremely terrible. Besides, Bynum's comeback can make up for the Lakers' shortcomings last season: rebounding and inside defense, so the Lakers have more reason to aspire to the championship in the new season!
Vulnerability analysis:
1, the running-in of the lineup will be a big problem before Phil. Bynum's comeback made Odom's position very embarrassing. Is it a deal or a break-in? This is still a variable.
2. The black hole defense at the position of1greatly reduces the overall defensive quality of the Lakers. The west is the most important place in the world. If the Lakers don't strengthen this, when Paul and Williams become more mature in the new season, can they still ensure the safety of the Lakers?
3. The substitute lineup is generally soft and the defense is not bloody enough. This problem is quite serious for the Lakers. Although Sasha, ski man, etc. They are all one-handed, two-handed, three-pointers, no iron defense, and no veteran who can afford to fight, which makes the Lakers look a little soft as a whole.
Chance of winning the championship in 2008-09 season: 30%
Second, the Celts
After the Celtics joined KG and Allen last season, they suddenly jumped from the Eastern Yudong Army to become the favorite to win the championship. In the end, they lived up to expectations and won the championship in one fell swoop. This season, the Celtics are basically the same team except Posey's Hornets. The strength of the Big Three is undeniable. It was in their heyday that the extraordinary rise of Rondo and Perkins last season greatly increased Kai Zi's chips for winning the championship. Moreover, judging from the coaching match between Reeves and Phil, Reeves is not at a disadvantage at all, and there is quite a trend that the waves behind the Yangtze River push the waves before!
Vulnerability analysis:
1, due to the lack of a playoff veteran and perimeter defender Percy in the entire rotation, Kai Zi will lack a reliable perimeter barrier.
2. Allen's situation will also determine the final outcome of Kai Zi. In the first two rounds of last season, it was because Allen was out of form in those two series. When Allen was at his best, Kai Zi was unstoppable.
3. The thickness of the whole substitute lineup is not enough. They are one year older in the new season. It is difficult for Kai Zi to go far without strengthening the thickness of substitutes in the middle of the season.
Chance of winning the championship in 2008-09 season: 20%
Third, the Spurs
Spurs is a terrible team, a kind of dichlorvos that stifles passion and youth! On the Spurs, you don't have enough experience and fighting capacity, and you will never turn over. The Spurs Big Three are still at their peak. Last season, the Lakers were able to pass easily, mainly because Manu's injury reduced the attack power of the entire Spurs by a grade. This season, I believe the Spurs will make a comeback! The Spurs are like the super killers in Gu Long's novels, and they never have extra moves. Every move is simple, but it's really deadly!
Vulnerability analysis:
1, Manu's injury will become the Spurs' heart disease. A healthy manu can scare anyone, but his injuries are always old. Can he stay healthy from beginning to end in the new season, especially in the playoffs? God bless!
2. The lineup is seriously aging. Holly, Finley, Bowen, etc. Their condition is getting worse year by year, and they are really able to eat. If the Spurs don't seek a new deal, they will cross the western Flame Mountain, which is really daydreaming.
Chance of winning the championship in 2008-09 season: 20%
Fourth, the Hornets.
After the Hornets got Paul, they suddenly became the fastest growing team in the West in recent years. Paul is becoming more and more mature and versatile! Last season, they lost in front of the sophisticated and simple Spurs because they lacked too much experience. I believe that last season's experience will make them more mature, and this season they will become even more horrible! The Hornets' lineup is relatively balanced in both offensive and defensive ends, and there are no obvious defects in each position. Moreover, Posey's joining gave them a very good targeted defensive weight, which is worth looking forward to! And West, I don't know how much potential this young man can have. I like him very much!
Vulnerability analysis:
1 and 5-bit attacks are too simple. What can Chandler do besides playing some aerial relays and grabbing some rebounds with Paul? When encountering targeted defense in the playoffs, the Hornets, the most lethal hand, will face a test.
2. The core of the team is too young. Paul and West, the twin stars, have been blank before, except for an experience in the playoffs last season. When the competition enters a state of continuous white-hot stalemate, youth will become the key factor for them to break through the cocoon.
Chance of winning the championship in 2008-09 season: 20%
Verb (abbreviation for verb) Rocket Team
In recent years, the Rockets have almost become regular playoff visitors, except for the season when both Yao Ming and McGrady were injured. Trading comes and goes every year, and the slogan of winning the championship has been shouted for so many years, but I still can't break the spell of the first round! This season, the Rockets got Artest from the Kings, and the voice of the Rockets winning the championship is unprecedented. Indeed, from every position in the lineup, the Rockets have no obvious shortcomings, only better than other teams, but this team has too many X factors, so I have to give him the lowest chance of winning the championship.
Vulnerability analysis:
1, Yao Mai's injury. Some people may say that NBA injuries are inevitable, and no one can guarantee them. Yes, that's true, but it seems that the injury of the rocket is not accidental but inevitable, as if it comes once a year! I hope they will be healthy this season, and God bless them!
2. Artest's X factor. If the Rockets can use Artest correctly, or if Artest can give the Rockets what they need correctly, the chances of winning the championship will increase by 20%! But can the reality be like this? This variable is very big!
Except for Artest, the whole rocket is soft. In the regular season, the Rockets can always play well, but once it comes to the playoffs, when it comes to the key, the Rockets like to drop the chain. This is not a problem of one or two stars, but the whole problem!
Probability of winning the championship in 2008-09 season: 10%